Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
21
Up 57%
1 arb excluded
$2.0K
-$175.3
Smart Money Signal
12 of 21 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.3K | +$11.89 | 60% 584-385 (969) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 48.5¢ | $501.95 | $490 | +$1 | 54% 4094-3445 (7539) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $245 | $490 | +$247.9 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 48.5¢ | $247.1 | — | -$246.9 | |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 92.3¢ | $42.21 | $41.57 | -$0.64 | 67% 3861-1939 (5800) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 48.1¢ | $36.45 | — | -$36.45 | 48% 1464-1570 (3034) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 83.6¢ | $40.16 | $35 | -$5.16 | 49% 3552-3629 (7181) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | $17.7 | $15 | -$2.7 | 50% 4512-4591 (9103) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 92.8¢ | $12.61 | $12.24 | -$0.37 | 65% 2731-1490 (4221) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 88.2¢ | $148.72 | $10.21 | -$8.56 | 52% 2477-2332 (4809) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 82¢ | $8.62 | $10.51 | +$1.89 | 60% 4136-2815 (6951) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 77¢ | $8.18 | $9.39 | +$1.21 | 54% 2644-2228 (4872) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $7.8 | — | -$7.8 | 50% 940-932 (1872) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 9.3¢ | $2.88 | — | -$2.88 | 34% 1202-2379 (3581) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 17.7¢ | $3.9 | — | -$3.9 | 52% 2972-2710 (5682) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 97¢ | $6.7 | $5.84 | -$0.86 | 50% 2760-2748 (5508) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 73¢ | $6.54 | $5.03 | -$1.51 | 46% 1652-1902 (3554) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $5.19 | $5.24 | +$0.05 | 98% 4362-90 (4452) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | $5.55 | $5 | +$0.22 | 62% 4514-2735 (7249) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 18¢ | $5.4 | — | -$5.4 | 48% 2455-2651 (5106) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 14.5¢ | $1.74 | — | -$1.74 | 42% 2015-2741 (4756) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 22¢ | $1.1 | — | -$1.1 | 44% 2349-3036 (5385) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 25.3¢ | $110.16 | — | -$110.16 | 49% 2434-2485 (4919) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 6¢ | $1.33 | — | -$1.33 | 39% 1683-2580 (4263) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$11.89
Record
60%
584-385 (969)
Invested
$501.95
Value
$490
PnL
+$1
Record
54%
4094-3445 (7539)
Both legs:
Invested
$42.21
Value
$41.57
PnL
-$0.64
Record
67%
3861-1939 (5800)
Invested
$36.45
Value
—
PnL
-$36.45
Record
48%
1464-1570 (3034)
Invested
$40.16
Value
$35
PnL
-$5.16
Record
49%
3552-3629 (7181)
Invested
$17.7
Value
$15
PnL
-$2.7
Record
50%
4512-4591 (9103)
Invested
$12.61
Value
$12.24
PnL
-$0.37
Record
65%
2731-1490 (4221)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$148.72
Value
$10.21
PnL
-$8.56
Record
52%
2477-2332 (4809)
Invested
$8.62
Value
$10.51
PnL
+$1.89
Record
60%
4136-2815 (6951)
Invested
$8.18
Value
$9.39
PnL
+$1.21
Record
54%
2644-2228 (4872)
Invested
$7.8
Value
—
PnL
-$7.8
Record
50%
940-932 (1872)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$2.88
Value
—
PnL
-$2.88
Record
34%
1202-2379 (3581)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$3.9
Value
—
PnL
-$3.9
Record
52%
2972-2710 (5682)
Invested
$6.7
Value
$5.84
PnL
-$0.86
Record
50%
2760-2748 (5508)
Invested
$6.54
Value
$5.03
PnL
-$1.51
Record
46%
1652-1902 (3554)
Invested
$5.19
Value
$5.24
PnL
+$0.05
Record
98%
4362-90 (4452)
Invested
$5.55
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.22
Record
62%
4514-2735 (7249)
Invested
$5.4
Value
—
PnL
-$5.4
Record
48%
2455-2651 (5106)
Invested
$1.74
Value
—
PnL
-$1.74
Record
42%
2015-2741 (4756)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$1.1
Value
—
PnL
-$1.1
Record
44%
2349-3036 (5385)
Invested
$110.16
Value
—
PnL
-$110.16
Record
49%
2434-2485 (4919)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$1.33
Value
—
PnL
-$1.33
Record
39%
1683-2580 (4263)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up — $1.3K
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
asdaefef
Up — $41.57
PBot-5
CTRDown — $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $35
asdcaxz
Up — $15
asidjasiodja
Up — $12.24
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $10.21
aaa221
Up — $10.51
ply-pm2
Up — $9.39