Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

18

Down 50%

Total Value

$705

Combined PnL

$-1.5K

Smart Money Signal

Down

9 of 18 top traders (50%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down9 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,658
Combined PnL$-1.5K
Up9 traders
Total Value$705
Total Shares705
Combined PnL+$20.61
Down — 50%Up — 50%
0X
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR
Down

Invested

$1,500

Value

—

PnL

$-1.5K

Record

60%

584-385 (969)

BY
ByteBadger92
Up

Invested

$500

Value

$500

PnL

+$0

Record

54%

4094-3445 (7539)

HO
hoodquant<$100
Up

Invested

$82.17

Value

$83

PnL

+$0.83

Record

98%

4362-90 (4452)

AS
asdcaxz<$100
Up

Invested

$37.35

Value

$41

PnL

+$3.65

Record

50%

4512-4591 (9103)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100
Up

Invested

$37.96

Value

$47

PnL

+$9.04

Record

51%

2128-2037 (4165)

LI
Little-bigCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$9.81

Value

—

PnL

-$9.81

Record

51%

1104-1049 (2153)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Up

Invested

$12.1

Value

$9

PnL

+$2.84

Record

54%

2644-2228 (4872)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$6.86

Value

$7

PnL

+$0.14

Record

67%

3861-1939 (5800)

Polkadot-Frog<$100
Up

Invested

$19.36

Value

$4.65

PnL

+$0.24

Record

52%

2477-2332 (4809)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$6.93

Value

$8.35

PnL

+$1.42

Record

60%

4136-2815 (6951)

HC
Hcrystallash<$100
Up

Invested

$2.55

Value

$5

PnL

+$2.45

Record

58%

5157-3805 (8962)

SO
soswald1CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.04

Value

—

PnL

-$2.04

Record

52%

3756-3495 (7251)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$9.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.66

Record

62%

4514-2735 (7249)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.42

Value

—

PnL

-$0.42

Record

42%

2015-2741 (4756)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.15

Value

—

PnL

-$0.15

Record

49%

3552-3629 (7181)

RA
rabadabadooCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.84

Value

—

PnL

-$1.84

Record

46%

1652-1902 (3554)

FL
flippingsharksCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.08

Value

—

PnL

-$0.08

Record

38%

762-1253 (2015)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$4.3

Value

—

PnL

-$4.3

Record

39%

1683-2580 (4263)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x1049f962...abf860
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1794746700

Traders in this Market

0X

0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b

CTR

Down — $0

$-1.5K
BY

ByteBadger92

Up — $500

+$0
HO

hoodquant

Up — $83

+$0.83
AS

asdcaxz

Up — $41

+$3.65
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $47

+$9.04
LI

Little-big

CTR

Down — $0

-$9.81
PL

ply-pm2

Up — $9

+$2.84
AS

asdaefef

Up — $7

+$0.14

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $4.65

+$0.24
AA

aaa221

Up — $8.35

+$1.42
Trade on Polymarket