Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 76% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
21
Down 76%
$2.6K
-$693.7
Smart Money Signal
16 of 21 top traders (76%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.4K | +$6.36 | 60% 575-382 (957) |
SO soswald1CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $750 | — | -$732.01 | 52% 3730-3475 (7205) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.2¢ | $512.62 | $502 | -$5.66 | 54% 4065-3413 (7478) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.9¢ | $280.35 | $283.58 | +$3.23 | 98% 4326-89 (4415) |
 wowitsamazing | Downavg 38¢ | $49.78 | $130.96 | +$81.18 | 48% 202-216 (418) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $87.66 | $89 | +$1.34 | 39% 1668-2567 (4235) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 92.7¢ | $70.97 | $76.6 | +$5.63 | 33% 1191-2369 (3560) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 81.3¢ | $45.9 | $45 | -$0.9 | 54% 2631-2208 (4839) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 24.9¢ | $52.41 | — | -$52.41 | 50% 4510-4587 (9097) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 74.2¢ | $78.52 | $25 | -$6.6 | 51% 2459-2319 (4778) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $12.49 | $13 | +$0.51 | 52% 2955-2690 (5645) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 65¢ | $10.75 | $10.92 | +$0.43 | 62% 4490-2713 (7203) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 97.5¢ | $13.6 | $10 | -$3.45 | 67% 3836-1923 (5759) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Downavg 82¢ | $8.89 | $8.12 | -$0.77 | 47% 1645-1887 (3532) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 57¢ | $5.7 | $10 | +$4.3 | 48% 2459-2704 (5163) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $5.17 | $11 | +$5.83 | 58% 5145-3799 (8944) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 78¢ | $3.55 | $4.55 | +$1 | 60% 4116-2795 (6911) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 56¢ | $2.8 | $5 | +$2.2 | 44% 2338-3018 (5356) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $2.55 | — | -$2.55 | 48% 1455-1564 (3019) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 15¢ | $1.25 | — | -$1.25 | 50% 2738-2731 (5469) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.1 | — | -$0.1 | 53% 1545-1383 (2928) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$6.36
Record
60%
575-382 (957)
Invested
$750
Value
—
PnL
-$732.01
Record
52%
3730-3475 (7205)
Invested
$512.62
Value
$502
PnL
-$5.66
Record
54%
4065-3413 (7478)
Invested
$280.35
Value
$283.58
PnL
+$3.23
Record
98%
4326-89 (4415)
wowitsamazingInvested
$49.78
Value
$130.96
PnL
+$81.18
Record
48%
202-216 (418)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$87.66
Value
$89
PnL
+$1.34
Record
39%
1668-2567 (4235)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$70.97
Value
$76.6
PnL
+$5.63
Record
33%
1191-2369 (3560)
Invested
$45.9
Value
$45
PnL
-$0.9
Record
54%
2631-2208 (4839)
Invested
$52.41
Value
—
PnL
-$52.41
Record
50%
4510-4587 (9097)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$78.52
Value
$25
PnL
-$6.6
Record
51%
2459-2319 (4778)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$12.49
Value
$13
PnL
+$0.51
Record
52%
2955-2690 (5645)
Invested
$10.75
Value
$10.92
PnL
+$0.43
Record
62%
4490-2713 (7203)
Invested
$13.6
Value
$10
PnL
-$3.45
Record
67%
3836-1923 (5759)
Invested
$8.89
Value
$8.12
PnL
-$0.77
Record
47%
1645-1887 (3532)
Invested
$5.7
Value
$10
PnL
+$4.3
Record
48%
2459-2704 (5163)
Invested
$5.17
Value
$11
PnL
+$5.83
Record
58%
5145-3799 (8944)
Invested
$3.55
Value
$4.55
PnL
+$1
Record
60%
4116-2795 (6911)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$2.8
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.2
Record
44%
2338-3018 (5356)
Invested
$2.55
Value
—
PnL
-$2.55
Record
48%
1455-1564 (3019)
Invested
$1.25
Value
—
PnL
-$1.25
Record
50%
2738-2731 (5469)
Invested
$0.1
Value
—
PnL
-$0.1
Record
53%
1545-1383 (2928)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Down — $1.4K
soswald1
CTRUp — $0
ByteBadger92
Down — $502
hoodquant
Down — $283.58
wowitsamazing
Down — $130.96
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $89
pspspsps5
Down — $76.6
ply-pm2
Down — $45
asdcaxz
CTRUp — $0
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $25