Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Resolved Up. 42% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Up 42%
1 arb excluded
$2.3K
-$730.47
Smart Money Signal
8 of 19 top traders (42%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed11 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.4K | +$13.39 | 60% 575-382 (957) |
SO soswald1CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $750 | — | -$723.7 | 52% 3730-3475 (7205) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.6¢ | $502.9 | $490 | -$5.8 | 54% 4065-3413 (7478) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $245 | $490 | +$247.1 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.6¢ | $252.9 | — | -$252.9 | |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $160.32 | $161.94 | +$1.62 | 98% 4326-89 (4415) |
AS asdcaxz | Upavg 64.5¢ | $89.4 | $118 | +$28.6 | 50% 4510-4587 (9097) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 74.2¢ | $143.21 | $34.36 | -$7.67 | 51% 2459-2319 (4778) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 62¢ | $26.04 | $42 | +$15.96 | 51% 2104-2030 (4134) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 98.4¢ | $18.26 | $16 | -$2.26 | 67% 3836-1923 (5759) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 27.7¢ | $19.4 | — | -$19.4 | 44% 2338-3018 (5356) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $7.65 | — | -$7.65 | 54% 2631-2208 (4839) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 96.8¢ | $27.03 | $7 | +$0.43 | 62% 4490-2713 (7203) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 20¢ | $6 | — | -$6 | 48% 2459-2704 (5163) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 36.7¢ | $5.5 | — | -$5.5 | 52% 2955-2690 (5645) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Downavg 36¢ | $2.02 | — | -$2.02 | 47% 1645-1887 (3532) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $2.55 | $5 | +$2.45 | 58% 5145-3799 (8944) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 2¢ | $1.33 | — | -$1.33 | 33% 1191-2369 (3560) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 30¢ | $1.8 | — | -$1.8 | 50% 2738-2731 (5469) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 43¢ | $7.54 | — | -$6.91 | 60% 4116-2795 (6911) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 4.5¢ | $3.22 | — | -$3.22 | 39% 1668-2567 (4235) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 39¢ | $5.46 | — | -$5.46 | 48% 2357-2599 (4956) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$13.39
Record
60%
575-382 (957)
Invested
$750
Value
—
PnL
-$723.7
Record
52%
3730-3475 (7205)
Invested
$502.9
Value
$490
PnL
-$5.8
Record
54%
4065-3413 (7478)
Both legs:
Invested
$160.32
Value
$161.94
PnL
+$1.62
Record
98%
4326-89 (4415)
Invested
$89.4
Value
$118
PnL
+$28.6
Record
50%
4510-4587 (9097)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$143.21
Value
$34.36
PnL
-$7.67
Record
51%
2459-2319 (4778)
Invested
$26.04
Value
$42
PnL
+$15.96
Record
51%
2104-2030 (4134)
Invested
$18.26
Value
$16
PnL
-$2.26
Record
67%
3836-1923 (5759)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$19.4
Value
—
PnL
-$19.4
Record
44%
2338-3018 (5356)
Invested
$7.65
Value
—
PnL
-$7.65
Record
54%
2631-2208 (4839)
Invested
$27.03
Value
$7
PnL
+$0.43
Record
62%
4490-2713 (7203)
Invested
$6
Value
—
PnL
-$6
Record
48%
2459-2704 (5163)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$5.5
Value
—
PnL
-$5.5
Record
52%
2955-2690 (5645)
Invested
$2.02
Value
—
PnL
-$2.02
Record
47%
1645-1887 (3532)
Invested
$2.55
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.45
Record
58%
5145-3799 (8944)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.33
Value
—
PnL
-$1.33
Record
33%
1191-2369 (3560)
Invested
$1.8
Value
—
PnL
-$1.8
Record
50%
2738-2731 (5469)
Invested
$7.54
Value
—
PnL
-$6.91
Record
60%
4116-2795 (6911)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$3.22
Value
—
PnL
-$3.22
Record
39%
1668-2567 (4235)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$5.46
Value
—
PnL
-$5.46
Record
48%
2357-2599 (4956)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up — $1.4K
soswald1
CTRDown — $0
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Up — $161.94
asdcaxz
Up — $118
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $34.36
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $42
asdaefef
Up — $16
G-Penis-Monster
CTRDown — $0
ply-pm2
CTRDown — $0