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Consensus Won βœ“

Smart money consensus was Up β€” and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

πŸ†

Won

Consensus Traders

20

Up 60%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$3.0K

Combined PnL

-$238.99

Smart Money Signal

Up

12 of 20 top traders (60%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up12 traders
Total Value$1.1K
Total Shares1,088
Combined PnL+$72.27
Down8 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares387
Combined PnL-$311.27
Up β€” 60%Down β€” 40%
0X
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100
Up

Invested

$1,500

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$8.06

Record

60%

575-382 (957)

Both legs:

Up$721.4250Β’+$720.08
Down$704.250Β’-$712.01
SO
soswald1
Up

Invested

$751.58

Value

$692.59

PnL

+$4.11

Record

52%

3730-3475 (7205)

BY
ByteBadger92ARB<$100
Down

Invested

$505.55

Value

$488.43

PnL

+$12.83

Record

54%

4065-3413 (7478)

Both legs:

Up$239.5249Β’+$249.06
Down$241.5449.5Β’-$236.23
AS
asdcaxz
Up

Invested

$159.96

Value

$171.66

PnL

+$15.49

Record

50%

4510-4587 (9097)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR
Down

Invested

$168.47

Value

β€”

PnL

-$163.98

Record

49%

3541-3613 (7154)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$41.06

Value

β€”

PnL

-$41.06

Record

54%

2631-2208 (4839)

RA
rabadabadoo<$100
Up

Invested

$30.27

Value

$43.29

PnL

+$13.02

Record

47%

1645-1887 (3532)

cryingbabydicer87<$100
Up

Invested

$32.4

Value

$36.23

PnL

+$3.83

Record

49%

1701-1739 (3440)

Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$45.54

Value

β€”

PnL

-$41.19

Record

51%

2459-2319 (4778)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$26.65

Value

$35.39

PnL

+$8.75

Record

60%

4116-2795 (6911)

AS
asdaefefCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$45.72

Value

β€”

PnL

-$45.72

Record

67%

3836-1923 (5759)

HO
hoodquant<$100
Up

Invested

$25.01

Value

$25.26

PnL

+$0.25

Record

98%

4326-89 (4415)

ohioism<$100
Up

Invested

$14.42

Value

$23

PnL

+$8.58

Record

48%

2357-2599 (4956)

BoneOhio<$100
Up

Invested

$9.5

Value

$16.22

PnL

+$6.72

Record

70%

1777-756 (2533)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$25

Value

$12.29

PnL

-$7.73

Record

62%

4490-2713 (7203)

HC
Hcrystallash<$100
Up

Invested

$6.6

Value

$12

PnL

+$5.4

Record

58%

5145-3799 (8944)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$10.44

Value

β€”

PnL

-$9.44

Record

50%

2738-2731 (5469)

FL
flippingsharks<$100
Up

Invested

$1.36

Value

$5.03

PnL

+$3.67

Record

38%

759-1247 (2006)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Up

Invested

$4.59

Value

$14.76

PnL

+$10.17

Record

39%

1668-2567 (4235)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.17

Value

β€”

PnL

-$1.17

Record

52%

2955-2690 (5645)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$7.35

Value

β€”

PnL

-$7.35

Record

48%

2437-2636 (5073)

AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.35

Value

β€”

PnL

-$1.35

Record

65%

2713-1481 (4194)