Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Resolved Up. 30% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Down 32%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.1K

Combined PnL

$-1.3K

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 20 top traders (30%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,473

Combined PnL$-1.4K

Up14 traders

Total Value$625.26

Total Shares625

Combined PnL+$173.03

Down — 30%Up — 70%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR	Downavg 50¢	$1.5K	—	$-1.4K	60% 575-382 (957)
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$504.9	$490	-$9.8	54% 4065-3413 (7478)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$245	$490	+$245.1
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$254.9	—	-$254.9
HO hoodquant	Upavg 99¢	$180.18	$182	+$1.82	98% 4326-89 (4415)
wowitsamazing	Upavg 47.1¢	$49.9	$106.03	+$56.13	48% 202-216 (418)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 53.2¢	$78.4	$147.42	+$69.02	51% 2104-2030 (4134)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Upavg 89.6¢	$55.03	$45	-$10.03	49% 3541-3613 (7154)
LI Little-big<$100	Upavg 43.3¢	$32.06	$74	+$41.94	51% 1099-1042 (2141)
SO soswald1<$100	Upavg 58.3¢	$11.65	$20	+$8.35	52% 3730-3475 (7205)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Upavg 90¢	$18.26	$16.8	-$0.71	50% 4510-4587 (9097)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 98.1¢	$9.9	$10.09	+$0.19	67% 3836-1923 (5759)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 98¢	$5.88	$6	+$0.12	50% 2738-2731 (5469)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 99¢	$5.94	$6	+$0.06	65% 2713-1481 (4194)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Downavg 54.5¢	$5.45	—	-$5.45	52% 2955-2690 (5645)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 42.5¢	$2.89	—	-$2.89	54% 2631-2208 (4839)
PB PBot-5<$100	Upavg 48¢	$2.8	$5.83	+$3.03	48% 1455-1564 (3019)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 48¢	$2.4	$5	+$2.6	62% 4490-2713 (7203)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Upavg 51¢	$0.51	$1	+$0.49	42% 1993-2712 (4705)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 80¢	$0.07	$0.09	+$0.02	60% 4116-2795 (6911)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 41.3¢	$6.2	—	-$6.2	48% 2357-2599 (4956)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 5¢	$0.75	—	-$0.75	39% 1668-2567 (4235)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Downavg 42¢	$4.2	—	-$4.2	44% 2338-3018 (5356)