Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Resolved Down. 42% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Down 42%
$1.7K
-$513.88
Smart Money Signal
8 of 19 top traders (42%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | -$1.51 | 60% 575-382 (957) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $507.9 | — | -$488.7 | 54% 4065-3413 (7478) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $69.3 | $70 | +$0.7 | 98% 4326-89 (4415) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $25.5 | $50 | +$24.5 | 51% 1099-1042 (2141) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 49.5¢ | $49.45 | — | -$49.45 | 51% 2104-2030 (4134) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 69.5¢ | $34.45 | $40 | +$5.55 | 51% 2459-2319 (4778) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 77.7¢ | $28.79 | $27.19 | -$1.6 | 54% 2631-2208 (4839) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $17.5 | $35 | +$17.5 | 48% 1447-1555 (3002) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 63.7¢ | $12.67 | $15 | +$2.33 | 52% 3730-3475 (7205) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 78¢ | $4.68 | $6 | +$1.32 | 67% 3836-1923 (5759) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Upavg 26¢ | $1.86 | — | -$1.86 | 46% 3188-3736 (6924) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 12¢ | $1.8 | — | -$1.8 | 44% 2338-3018 (5356) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 9.3¢ | $4.2 | — | -$4.2 | 49% 3541-3613 (7154) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 29¢ | $1.45 | — | -$1.45 | 62% 4490-2713 (7203) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 6.5¢ | $1.54 | — | -$1.54 | 52% 2955-2690 (5645) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 4.5¢ | $0.53 | — | -$0.53 | 42% 1993-2712 (4705) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $0.3 | — | -$0.3 | 39% 1668-2567 (4235) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 36% 1451-2565 (4016) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $12.78 | — | -$12.78 | 50% 4510-4587 (9097) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.5K
PnL
-$1.51
Record
60%
575-382 (957)
Invested
$507.9
Value
—
PnL
-$488.7
Record
54%
4065-3413 (7478)
Invested
$69.3
Value
$70
PnL
+$0.7
Record
98%
4326-89 (4415)
Invested
$25.5
Value
$50
PnL
+$24.5
Record
51%
1099-1042 (2141)
Invested
$49.45
Value
—
PnL
-$49.45
Record
51%
2104-2030 (4134)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$34.45
Value
$40
PnL
+$5.55
Record
51%
2459-2319 (4778)
Invested
$28.79
Value
$27.19
PnL
-$1.6
Record
54%
2631-2208 (4839)
Invested
$17.5
Value
$35
PnL
+$17.5
Record
48%
1447-1555 (3002)
Invested
$12.67
Value
$15
PnL
+$2.33
Record
52%
3730-3475 (7205)
Invested
$4.68
Value
$6
PnL
+$1.32
Record
67%
3836-1923 (5759)
Invested
$1.86
Value
—
PnL
-$1.86
Record
46%
3188-3736 (6924)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$1.8
Value
—
PnL
-$1.8
Record
44%
2338-3018 (5356)
Invested
$4.2
Value
—
PnL
-$4.2
Record
49%
3541-3613 (7154)
Invested
$1.45
Value
—
PnL
-$1.45
Record
62%
4490-2713 (7203)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.54
Value
—
PnL
-$1.54
Record
52%
2955-2690 (5645)
Invested
$0.53
Value
—
PnL
-$0.53
Record
42%
1993-2712 (4705)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$0.3
Value
—
PnL
-$0.3
Record
39%
1668-2567 (4235)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
36%
1451-2565 (4016)
Invested
$12.78
Value
—
PnL
-$12.78
Record
50%
4510-4587 (9097)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Down — $1.5K
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
hoodquant
Down — $70
Little-big
Down — $50
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp — $0
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $40
ply-pm2
Down — $27.19
PBot-5
Down — $35
soswald1
Down — $15
asdaefef
Down — $6