Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Resolved Up. 82% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
17
Up 81%
$2.3K
-$8.83
Smart Money Signal
14 of 17 top traders (82%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$2 | 61% 559-364 (923) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 54% 3980-3330 (7310) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $111.22 | $112.34 | +$1.12 | 98% 4234-88 (4322) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 30.6¢ | $95.97 | — | -$21.21 | 52% 2413-2270 (4683) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 77.5¢ | $39.05 | $37.63 | -$1.42 | 55% 2589-2161 (4750) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 76.5¢ | $36.62 | $47.89 | +$11.27 | 60% 4054-2741 (6795) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 55.8¢ | $26.3 | $29.63 | +$4.75 | 47% 1617-1858 (3475) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 82.9¢ | $20.98 | $23 | +$2.02 | 67% 3766-1879 (5645) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 51.5¢ | $14.74 | $16 | +$4.56 | 62% 4407-2657 (7064) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $8.11 | $8.19 | +$0.08 | 51% 2054-1988 (4042) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 31¢ | $26.03 | — | -$14.03 | 50% 3495-3507 (7002) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 67¢ | $3.95 | $5.89 | +$1.94 | 33% 1164-2331 (3495) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 35.1¢ | $6.14 | — | -$6.14 | 39% 1630-2522 (4152) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $2.23 | $3.8 | +$1.56 | 52% 2912-2637 (5549) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 38¢ | $1.9 | $5 | +$3.1 | 48% 2311-2552 (4863) |
SU suntori<$100 | Upavg 55¢ | $1.86 | $3.38 | +$1.52 | 46% 3134-3672 (6806) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 48¢ | $0.03 | $0.06 | +$0.03 | 48% 2400-2586 (4986) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$2
Record
61%
559-364 (923)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
3980-3330 (7310)
Invested
$111.22
Value
$112.34
PnL
+$1.12
Record
98%
4234-88 (4322)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$95.97
Value
—
PnL
-$21.21
Record
52%
2413-2270 (4683)
Invested
$39.05
Value
$37.63
PnL
-$1.42
Record
55%
2589-2161 (4750)
Invested
$36.62
Value
$47.89
PnL
+$11.27
Record
60%
4054-2741 (6795)
Invested
$26.3
Value
$29.63
PnL
+$4.75
Record
47%
1617-1858 (3475)
Invested
$20.98
Value
$23
PnL
+$2.02
Record
67%
3766-1879 (5645)
Invested
$14.74
Value
$16
PnL
+$4.56
Record
62%
4407-2657 (7064)
Invested
$8.11
Value
$8.19
PnL
+$0.08
Record
51%
2054-1988 (4042)
Invested
$26.03
Value
—
PnL
-$14.03
Record
50%
3495-3507 (7002)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$3.95
Value
$5.89
PnL
+$1.94
Record
33%
1164-2331 (3495)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$6.14
Value
—
PnL
-$6.14
Record
39%
1630-2522 (4152)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$2.23
Value
$3.8
PnL
+$1.56
Record
52%
2912-2637 (5549)
ohioism<$100Invested
$1.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.1
Record
48%
2311-2552 (4863)
Invested
$1.86
Value
$3.38
PnL
+$1.52
Record
46%
3134-3672 (6806)
Invested
$0.03
Value
$0.06
PnL
+$0.03
Record
48%
2400-2586 (4986)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up — $1.5K
ByteBadger92
Up — $500
hoodquant
Up — $112.34
Polkadot-Frog
CTRDown — $0
ply-pm2
Up — $37.63
aaa221
Up — $47.89
rabadabadoo
Up — $29.63
asdaefef
Up — $23
drfc4eybh7i8
Up — $16
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $8.19