Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Up 50%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.4K

Combined PnL

-$734.29

Smart Money Signal

10 of 20 top traders (50%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed10 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up10 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares933

Combined PnL-$812.35

Down10 traders

Total Value$531.67

Total Shares532

Combined PnL+$78.06

Up — 50%Down — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$1.5K	$1.4K	+$7.58	61% 559-364 (923)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$706.86	$1.4K	+$733.19
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$708.82	—	-$725.61
SO soswald1CTR	Upavg 50¢	$750	—	-$750	52% 3683-3445 (7128)
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50.2¢	$512.08	$493.33	-$1.37	54% 3980-3330 (7310)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50.2¢	$247.45	$493.33	+$248.93
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.3¢	$246.41	—	-$250.3
HO hoodquant	Downavg 99¢	$160.38	$162	+$1.62	98% 4234-88 (4322)
Polkadot-Frog	Downavg 72.8¢	$117.47	$111.87	+$20.42	52% 2413-2270 (4683)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Downavg 83¢	$38.57	$46.47	+$7.9	48% 2415-2654 (5069)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Downavg 73.8¢	$23.69	$32.09	+$8.4	39% 1630-2522 (4152)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 75.8¢	$32.31	$42.65	+$10.34	60% 4054-2741 (6795)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Downavg 62.5¢	$35	$56	+$21	51% 2054-1988 (4042)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Downavg 56¢	$25	$23	-$2	50% 3495-3507 (7002)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 66¢	$24.64	$30	+$5.36	55% 2589-2161 (4750)
pspspsps5<$100	Downavg 82¢	$14.43	$17.6	+$3.17	33% 1164-2331 (3495)
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 81.5¢	$8.15	$10	+$1.85	52% 2912-2637 (5549)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 45¢	$3.5	—	-$3.5	50% 2694-2677 (5371)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Upavg 50¢	$2.07	—	-$2.07	65% 2664-1450 (4114)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 8¢	$0.4	—	-$0.4	44% 2305-2951 (5256)
SU suntoriCTR<$100	Upavg 24.6¢	$36.7	—	-$26.33	46% 3134-3672 (6806)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 41.6¢	$17.44	—	-$17.44	48% 2400-2586 (4986)
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100	Upavg 30.4¢	$7.9	—	-$7.9	62% 4407-2657 (7064)
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100	Upavg 17¢	$2.12	—	-$2.12	47% 1617-1858 (3475)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 25.8¢	$1.29	—	-$1.29	48% 2311-2552 (4863)
AS asdaefefCTR<$100	Upavg 26¢	$1.3	—	-$1.3	67% 3766-1879 (5645)