Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
Resolved Up. 72% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Up 72%
$2.3K
-$34.62
Smart Money Signal
13 of 18 top traders (72%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.4K | -$1.35 | 61% 559-364 (923) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50¢ | $501.37 | $503.18 | +$7.51 | 54% 3980-3330 (7310) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $99 | $100 | +$1 | 98% 4234-88 (4322) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 84.9¢ | $52.55 | $50.21 | -$1.14 | 39% 1630-2522 (4152) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 81.8¢ | $61.72 | $47.44 | -$14.28 | 60% 4054-2741 (6795) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Upavg 44.1¢ | $38.84 | $88 | +$49.16 | 51% 1073-1021 (2094) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 90.9¢ | $31.43 | $32.19 | +$0.76 | 67% 3766-1879 (5645) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 86.7¢ | $28.26 | $32.6 | +$4.34 | 33% 1164-2331 (3495) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 10.1¢ | $22.53 | — | -$22.53 | 50% 3495-3507 (7002) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 64.5¢ | $34.8 | — | -$34.8 | 51% 2054-1988 (4042) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 91.1¢ | $75.89 | $23.01 | -$6.72 | 52% 2413-2270 (4683) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 91.6¢ | $21.85 | $19 | +$0.5 | 62% 4407-2657 (7064) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 86.9¢ | $13.91 | $16 | +$2.09 | 52% 2912-2637 (5549) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 25.9¢ | $10.92 | — | -$10.92 | 55% 2589-2161 (4750) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 29¢ | $7.26 | — | -$7.26 | 70% 1755-745 (2500) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 85.2¢ | $8.75 | $10.27 | +$1.52 | 50% 2694-2677 (5371) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Upavg 43¢ | $5.16 | $12 | +$6.84 | 58% 5126-3784 (8910) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Downavg 21.8¢ | $9.34 | — | -$9.34 | 46% 3134-3672 (6806) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
-$1.35
Record
61%
559-364 (923)
Invested
$501.37
Value
$503.18
PnL
+$7.51
Record
54%
3980-3330 (7310)
Invested
$99
Value
$100
PnL
+$1
Record
98%
4234-88 (4322)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$52.55
Value
$50.21
PnL
-$1.14
Record
39%
1630-2522 (4152)
Invested
$61.72
Value
$47.44
PnL
-$14.28
Record
60%
4054-2741 (6795)
Invested
$38.84
Value
$88
PnL
+$49.16
Record
51%
1073-1021 (2094)
Invested
$31.43
Value
$32.19
PnL
+$0.76
Record
67%
3766-1879 (5645)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$28.26
Value
$32.6
PnL
+$4.34
Record
33%
1164-2331 (3495)
Invested
$22.53
Value
—
PnL
-$22.53
Record
50%
3495-3507 (7002)
Invested
$34.8
Value
—
PnL
-$34.8
Record
51%
2054-1988 (4042)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$75.89
Value
$23.01
PnL
-$6.72
Record
52%
2413-2270 (4683)
Invested
$21.85
Value
$19
PnL
+$0.5
Record
62%
4407-2657 (7064)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$13.91
Value
$16
PnL
+$2.09
Record
52%
2912-2637 (5549)
Invested
$10.92
Value
—
PnL
-$10.92
Record
55%
2589-2161 (4750)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$7.26
Value
—
PnL
-$7.26
Record
70%
1755-745 (2500)
Invested
$8.75
Value
$10.27
PnL
+$1.52
Record
50%
2694-2677 (5371)
Invested
$5.16
Value
$12
PnL
+$6.84
Record
58%
5126-3784 (8910)
Invested
$9.34
Value
—
PnL
-$9.34
Record
46%
3134-3672 (6806)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up — $1.4K
ByteBadger92
Up — $503.18
hoodquant
Up — $100
OhioRiskManagement
Up — $50.21
aaa221
Up — $47.44
Little-big
Up — $88
asdaefef
Up — $32.19
pspspsps5
Up — $32.6
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRDown — $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRDown — $0