Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Resolved Up. 65% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
17
Up 65%
1 arb excluded
$3.1K
$-1.1K
Smart Money Signal
11 of 17 top traders (65%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710 | Upavg 91.1¢ | $1.7K | $1.8K | +$161.5 | 42% 1925-2669 (4594) |
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.2K | 61% 559-364 (923) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $505.63 | $495.1 | +$2.55 | 54% 3980-3330 (7310) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $247.5 | $495.1 | +$251.1 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 48.7¢ | $245.83 | — | -$248.55 | |
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $381.8 | $382.18 | +$0.38 | 53% 1518-1369 (2887) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 97.7¢ | $125.14 | $96 | -$6.35 | 52% 2413-2270 (4683) |
HC Hcrystallash | Upavg 73.7¢ | $95.25 | $127.44 | +$32.19 | 58% 5126-3784 (8910) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $59.4 | $60 | +$0.6 | 98% 4234-88 (4322) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 18.6¢ | $17.49 | — | -$17.49 | 51% 1073-1021 (2094) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 85.4¢ | $31.1 | $36.41 | +$5.3 | 48% 2400-2586 (4986) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 84.4¢ | $25.66 | $30.41 | +$4.75 | 39% 1630-2522 (4152) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | $14.47 | $15.9 | +$1.43 | 33% 1164-2331 (3495) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 20.5¢ | $6.15 | — | -$6.15 | 55% 2589-2161 (4750) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 86.3¢ | $4.5 | $5.1 | +$0.6 | 52% 2912-2637 (5549) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 97¢ | $9.75 | $5.05 | +$0.55 | 62% 4407-2657 (7064) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 74¢ | $4.41 | $5.96 | +$1.55 | 48% 2311-2552 (4863) |
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100 | Downavg 12¢ | $1.13 | — | -$1.13 | 38% 743-1229 (1972) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 0.8¢ | $0.66 | — | -$0.66 | 50% 3495-3507 (7002) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 11¢ | $5.5 | — | -$5.5 | 48% 2415-2654 (5069) |
Invested
$1,656.5
Value
$1.8K
PnL
+$161.5
Record
42%
1925-2669 (4594)
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.2K
Record
61%
559-364 (923)
Invested
$505.63
Value
$495.1
PnL
+$2.55
Record
54%
3980-3330 (7310)
Both legs:
Invested
$381.8
Value
$382.18
PnL
+$0.38
Record
53%
1518-1369 (2887)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$125.14
Value
$96
PnL
-$6.35
Record
52%
2413-2270 (4683)
Invested
$95.25
Value
$127.44
PnL
+$32.19
Record
58%
5126-3784 (8910)
Invested
$59.4
Value
$60
PnL
+$0.6
Record
98%
4234-88 (4322)
Invested
$17.49
Value
—
PnL
-$17.49
Record
51%
1073-1021 (2094)
Invested
$31.1
Value
$36.41
PnL
+$5.3
Record
48%
2400-2586 (4986)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$25.66
Value
$30.41
PnL
+$4.75
Record
39%
1630-2522 (4152)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$14.47
Value
$15.9
PnL
+$1.43
Record
33%
1164-2331 (3495)
Invested
$6.15
Value
—
PnL
-$6.15
Record
55%
2589-2161 (4750)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$4.5
Value
$5.1
PnL
+$0.6
Record
52%
2912-2637 (5549)
Invested
$9.75
Value
$5.05
PnL
+$0.55
Record
62%
4407-2657 (7064)
ohioism<$100Invested
$4.41
Value
$5.96
PnL
+$1.55
Record
48%
2311-2552 (4863)
Invested
$1.13
Value
—
PnL
-$1.13
Record
38%
743-1229 (1972)
Invested
$0.66
Value
—
PnL
-$0.66
Record
50%
3495-3507 (7002)
Invested
$5.5
Value
—
PnL
-$5.5
Record
48%
2415-2654 (5069)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up — $1.8K
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRDown — $0
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x50f7
Up — $382.18
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $96
Hcrystallash
Up — $127.44
hoodquant
Up — $60
Little-big
CTRDown — $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up — $36.41
OhioRiskManagement
Up — $30.41