Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
18
Up 50%
$2.1K
-$96.15
Smart Money Signal
9 of 18 top traders (50%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50Β’ | $1.5K | $1.4K | +$0.63 | 61% 559-364 (923) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50.2Β’ | $509.47 | $503.51 | +$6.31 | 54% 3980-3330 (7310) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 53.3Β’ | $82.94 | $98.09 | +$15.15 | 55% 2589-2161 (4750) |
![]() Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 40.5Β’ | $66.06 | β | -$66.06 | 52% 2413-2270 (4683) |
SU suntori<$100 | Upavg 62.8Β’ | $31.76 | $50.54 | +$18.78 | 46% 3134-3672 (6806) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 51.1Β’ | $35.72 | $47.77 | +$12.05 | 47% 1617-1858 (3475) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 52.6Β’ | $37.1 | β | -$37.1 | 51% 2054-1988 (4042) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 39.6Β’ | $19.25 | β | -$19.25 | 48% 2400-2586 (4986) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Upavg 78Β’ | $17.13 | $15 | -$1.25 | 48% 2311-2552 (4863) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 75.1Β’ | $17.45 | $14 | -$3.45 | 62% 4407-2657 (7064) |
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100 | Downavg 59Β’ | $12.71 | β | -$12.71 | 58% 5126-3784 (8910) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 54Β’ | $9.07 | $16.8 | +$7.73 | 60% 4054-2741 (6795) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 32Β’ | $4.76 | $7.13 | +$7.21 | 50% 2694-2677 (5371) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 31Β’ | $6.2 | β | -$6.2 | 52% 2912-2637 (5549) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 21.9Β’ | $2.85 | β | -$2.85 | 39% 1630-2522 (4152) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 44.4Β’ | $7.96 | β | -$4.24 | 67% 3766-1879 (5645) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 29Β’ | $1.83 | β | -$1.83 | 33% 1164-2331 (3495) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 39.5Β’ | $9.08 | β | -$9.08 | 48% 2415-2654 (5069) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$0.63
Record
61%
559-364 (923)
Invested
$509.47
Value
$503.51
PnL
+$6.31
Record
54%
3980-3330 (7310)
Invested
$82.94
Value
$98.09
PnL
+$15.15
Record
55%
2589-2161 (4750)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$66.06
Value
β
PnL
-$66.06
Record
52%
2413-2270 (4683)
Invested
$31.76
Value
$50.54
PnL
+$18.78
Record
46%
3134-3672 (6806)
Invested
$35.72
Value
$47.77
PnL
+$12.05
Record
47%
1617-1858 (3475)
Invested
$37.1
Value
β
PnL
-$37.1
Record
51%
2054-1988 (4042)
Invested
$19.25
Value
β
PnL
-$19.25
Record
48%
2400-2586 (4986)
ohioism<$100Invested
$17.13
Value
$15
PnL
-$1.25
Record
48%
2311-2552 (4863)
Invested
$17.45
Value
$14
PnL
-$3.45
Record
62%
4407-2657 (7064)
Invested
$12.71
Value
β
PnL
-$12.71
Record
58%
5126-3784 (8910)
Invested
$9.07
Value
$16.8
PnL
+$7.73
Record
60%
4054-2741 (6795)
Invested
$4.76
Value
$7.13
PnL
+$7.21
Record
50%
2694-2677 (5371)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$6.2
Value
β
PnL
-$6.2
Record
52%
2912-2637 (5549)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$2.85
Value
β
PnL
-$2.85
Record
39%
1630-2522 (4152)
Invested
$7.96
Value
β
PnL
-$4.24
Record
67%
3766-1879 (5645)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.83
Value
β
PnL
-$1.83
Record
33%
1164-2331 (3495)
Invested
$9.08
Value
β
PnL
-$9.08
Record
48%
2415-2654 (5069)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up β $1.4K
ByteBadger92
Up β $503.51
ply-pm2
Up β $98.09

Polkadot-Frog
CTRDown β $0
suntori
Up β $50.54
rabadabadoo
Up β $47.77
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRDown β $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRDown β $0

ohioism
Up β $15
drfc4eybh7i8
Up β $14