Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
14
Up 57%
$1.6K
$-1.4K
Smart Money Signal
8 of 14 top traders (57%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Downavg 50Β’ | $1.5K | β | $-1.4K | 61% 559-364 (923) |
SO soswald1 | Upavg 50Β’ | $750 | $750 | +$0 | 52% 3683-3445 (7128) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50Β’ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 54% 3980-3330 (7310) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.8Β’ | $280.7 | $284 | +$3.3 | 98% 4234-88 (4322) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 98Β’ | $40.17 | $22.52 | +$0.17 | 39% 1630-2522 (4152) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Upavg 49Β’ | $17.91 | $36.55 | +$18.64 | 51% 1073-1021 (2094) |
![]() Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 37.2Β’ | $57.06 | β | -$7.6 | 52% 2413-2270 (4683) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 46.8Β’ | $14.03 | β | -$14.03 | 48% 2311-2552 (4863) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 60Β’ | $17.8 | β | -$17.8 | 48% 2415-2654 (5069) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Upavg 49Β’ | $7.84 | $16 | +$8.16 | 58% 5126-3784 (8910) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 40Β’ | $6 | $15 | +$9 | 55% 2589-2161 (4750) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 87Β’ | $6.09 | $7 | +$0.91 | 67% 3766-1879 (5645) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 47.8Β’ | $2.39 | β | -$2.39 | 48% 2400-2586 (4986) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 5.4Β’ | $0.92 | β | -$0.92 | 52% 2912-2637 (5549) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
β
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
61%
559-364 (923)
Invested
$750
Value
$750
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
3683-3445 (7128)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
3980-3330 (7310)
Invested
$280.7
Value
$284
PnL
+$3.3
Record
98%
4234-88 (4322)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$40.17
Value
$22.52
PnL
+$0.17
Record
39%
1630-2522 (4152)
Invested
$17.91
Value
$36.55
PnL
+$18.64
Record
51%
1073-1021 (2094)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$57.06
Value
β
PnL
-$7.6
Record
52%
2413-2270 (4683)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$14.03
Value
β
PnL
-$14.03
Record
48%
2311-2552 (4863)
Invested
$17.8
Value
β
PnL
-$17.8
Record
48%
2415-2654 (5069)
Invested
$7.84
Value
$16
PnL
+$8.16
Record
58%
5126-3784 (8910)
Invested
$6
Value
$15
PnL
+$9
Record
55%
2589-2161 (4750)
Invested
$6.09
Value
$7
PnL
+$0.91
Record
67%
3766-1879 (5645)
Invested
$2.39
Value
β
PnL
-$2.39
Record
48%
2400-2586 (4986)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.92
Value
β
PnL
-$0.92
Record
52%
2912-2637 (5549)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRDown β $0
soswald1
Up β $750
ByteBadger92
Up β $500
hoodquant
Up β $284

OhioRiskManagement
Up β $22.52
Little-big
Up β $36.55

Polkadot-Frog
CTRDown β $0

ohioism
CTRDown β $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRDown β $0
Hcrystallash
Up β $16