Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Resolved Up. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 55%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$3.6K

Combined PnL

-$555.63

Smart Money Signal

12 of 22 top traders (55%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed10 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up12 traders

Total Value$2.9K

Total Shares2,889

Combined PnL+$86.81

Down10 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares843

Combined PnL-$642.44

Up — 55%Down — 45%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b	Upavg 50¢	$1.5K	$1.5K	+$0.35	61% 552-358 (910)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710	Upavg 93.5¢	$1.1K	$1.2K	+$78.62	42% 1920-2608 (4528)
SO soswald1ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$750	$720	-$12.65	52% 3670-3435 (7105)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$360	$720	+$362.35
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$375	—	-$375
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Downavg 50¢	$502.95	—	-$493.15	54% 3939-3307 (7246)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 99¢	$110.69	$111.81	+$1.12	98% 4191-88 (4279)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Downavg 59.4¢	$63.1	—	-$63.1	51% 2039-1965 (4004)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 92.2¢	$36.85	$35.62	-$1.23	60% 4018-2726 (6744)
Polkadot-FrogCTR	Downavg 47.8¢	$168.51	—	-$54.28	51% 2389-2256 (4645)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 97.5¢	$26.36	$26	-$0.22	67% 3730-1865 (5595)
0X 0x50f7<$100	Upavg 99.9¢	$14.98	$15	+$0.02	52% 1501-1359 (2860)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 84.1¢	$13.07	$15.15	+$2.09	48% 2398-2644 (5042)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 15.9¢	$7.67	—	-$7.67	54% 2562-2153 (4715)
RA rabadabadoo<$100	Upavg 38¢	$2.23	$5.87	+$3.64	47% 1608-1844 (3452)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 85¢	$4.3	$5.06	+$0.76	65% 2632-1442 (4074)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 86¢	$4.3	$5	+$0.7	50% 2671-2654 (5325)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 91¢	$4.55	$3	+$0.41	63% 4381-2627 (7008)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Downavg 9¢	$2.7	—	-$2.7	48% 2388-2566 (4954)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Downavg 8.4¢	$1.34	—	-$1.34	52% 2890-2619 (5509)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 44¢	$0.44	$1	+$0.56	44% 2289-2937 (5226)
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100	Downavg 12¢	$1.13	—	-$1.13	38% 737-1209 (1946)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Downavg 1¢	$0.45	—	-$0.45	50% 3476-3482 (6958)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 3.8¢	$1.47	—	-$1.47	39% 1613-2504 (4117)
PB PBot-5CTR<$100	Downavg 49¢	$17.15	—	-$17.15	48% 1421-1515 (2936)