Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Resolved Up. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
24
Up 61%
$1.8K
$-2.1K
Smart Money Signal
14 of 24 top traders (58%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.4K | 61% 552-358 (910) |
SO soswald1CTR | Downavg 49.9¢ | $751.8 | — | -$748.6 | 52% 3670-3435 (7105) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.9¢ | $708.84 | $716.52 | +$7.68 | 98% 4191-88 (4279) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 51.7¢ | $523.07 | $500 | -$5 | 54% 3939-3307 (7246) |
 pspspsps5 | Upavg 95.6¢ | $237.88 | $248.9 | +$11.02 | 33% 1155-2309 (3464) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 95.8¢ | $109.1 | $90 | -$9.2 | 51% 2389-2256 (4645) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 55.7¢ | $44.88 | $63.1 | +$18.22 | 51% 2039-1965 (4004) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $45.56 | $43 | -$1.92 | 42% 1920-2608 (4528) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 92.5¢ | $32.78 | $30 | -$2.78 | 54% 2562-2153 (4715) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Upavg 43.8¢ | $21.91 | $50 | +$28.09 | 51% 1062-1015 (2077) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 95.8¢ | $11.64 | $11.06 | -$0.58 | 65% 2632-1442 (4074) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 92.5¢ | $10.5 | $10.05 | -$0.45 | 67% 3730-1865 (5595) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 81¢ | $12.93 | $15.97 | +$3.03 | 60% 4018-2726 (6744) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 94¢ | $5.64 | $6 | +$0.36 | 50% 2671-2654 (5325) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 42.2¢ | $11.05 | — | -$9.5 | 48% 2398-2644 (5042) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 97¢ | $4.85 | $5 | +$0.15 | 52% 2890-2619 (5509) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 57¢ | $2.85 | $5 | +$2.15 | 47% 1608-1844 (3452) |
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100 | Downavg 6¢ | $0.75 | — | -$0.75 | 38% 737-1209 (1946) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 5¢ | $0.25 | — | -$0.25 | 39% 1613-2504 (4117) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.15 | — | -$0.15 | 50% 3476-3482 (6958) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Downavg 15.1¢ | $11.2 | — | -$11.2 | 46% 3122-3654 (6776) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 39.4¢ | $7.89 | — | -$7.89 | 48% 2388-2566 (4954) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 39¢ | $3.9 | — | -$3.9 | 47% 2293-2538 (4831) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 8¢ | $5.7 | — | -$0.03 | 63% 4381-2627 (7008) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
61%
552-358 (910)
Invested
$751.8
Value
—
PnL
-$748.6
Record
52%
3670-3435 (7105)
Invested
$708.84
Value
$716.52
PnL
+$7.68
Record
98%
4191-88 (4279)
Invested
$523.07
Value
$500
PnL
-$5
Record
54%
3939-3307 (7246)
pspspsps5Invested
$237.88
Value
$248.9
PnL
+$11.02
Record
33%
1155-2309 (3464)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$109.1
Value
$90
PnL
-$9.2
Record
51%
2389-2256 (4645)
Invested
$44.88
Value
$63.1
PnL
+$18.22
Record
51%
2039-1965 (4004)
Invested
$45.56
Value
$43
PnL
-$1.92
Record
42%
1920-2608 (4528)
Invested
$32.78
Value
$30
PnL
-$2.78
Record
54%
2562-2153 (4715)
Invested
$21.91
Value
$50
PnL
+$28.09
Record
51%
1062-1015 (2077)
Invested
$11.64
Value
$11.06
PnL
-$0.58
Record
65%
2632-1442 (4074)
Invested
$10.5
Value
$10.05
PnL
-$0.45
Record
67%
3730-1865 (5595)
Invested
$12.93
Value
$15.97
PnL
+$3.03
Record
60%
4018-2726 (6744)
Invested
$5.64
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.36
Record
50%
2671-2654 (5325)
Invested
$11.05
Value
—
PnL
-$9.5
Record
48%
2398-2644 (5042)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$4.85
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.15
Record
52%
2890-2619 (5509)
Invested
$2.85
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.15
Record
47%
1608-1844 (3452)
Invested
$0.75
Value
—
PnL
-$0.75
Record
38%
737-1209 (1946)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$0.25
Value
—
PnL
-$0.25
Record
39%
1613-2504 (4117)
Invested
$0.15
Value
—
PnL
-$0.15
Record
50%
3476-3482 (6958)
Invested
$11.2
Value
—
PnL
-$11.2
Record
46%
3122-3654 (6776)
Invested
$7.89
Value
—
PnL
-$7.89
Record
48%
2388-2566 (4954)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$3.9
Value
—
PnL
-$3.9
Record
47%
2293-2538 (4831)
Invested
$5.7
Value
—
PnL
-$0.03
Record
63%
4381-2627 (7008)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRDown — $0
soswald1
CTRDown — $0
hoodquant
Up — $716.52
ByteBadger92
Up — $500
pspspsps5
Up — $248.9
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $90
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $63.1
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up — $43
ply-pm2
Up — $30
Little-big
Up — $50