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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Won βœ“

Smart money consensus was Up β€” and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

πŸ†

Won

Consensus Traders

16

Up 75%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.5K

Combined PnL

$56.03

Smart Money Signal

Up

12 of 16 top traders (75%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up12 traders
Total Value$560.67
Total Shares561
Combined PnL+$65.71
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares124
Combined PnL-$9.68
Up β€” 75%Down β€” 25%
0X
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100
Up

Invested

$1,500

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$14.73

Record

61%

552-358 (910)

Both legs:

Up$679.5650Β’+$707.76
Down$678.950Β’-$693.04
BY
ByteBadger92ARB<$100
Up

Invested

$506.69

Value

$503.75

PnL

+$8.89

Record

54%

3939-3307 (7246)

Both legs:

Up$252.2750.1Β’+$253.35
Down$241.3649.6Β’-$244.46
HO
hoodquant
Up

Invested

$285.19

Value

$290.04

PnL

+$4.85

Record

98%

4191-88 (4279)

Polkadot-FrogARB<$100
Up

Invested

$82.95

Value

$85

PnL

+$26.62

Record

51%

2389-2256 (4645)

Both legs:

Down$12.311.2Β’-$12.3
Up$54.5964.2Β’+$38.92
pspspsps5CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.9

Value

β€”

PnL

-$0.9

Record

33%

1155-2309 (3464)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100
Up

Invested

$55.91

Value

$71

PnL

+$15.09

Record

51%

2039-1965 (4004)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Up

Invested

$32.4

Value

$45

PnL

+$12.6

Record

54%

2562-2153 (4715)

SO
soswald1<$100
Up

Invested

$20.3

Value

$30.08

PnL

+$9.78

Record

52%

3670-3435 (7105)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$22.36

Value

$24.31

PnL

+$1.95

Record

67%

3730-1865 (5595)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100
Up

Invested

$17

Value

$20

PnL

+$3

Record

48%

2398-2644 (5042)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$20.36

Value

$25.82

PnL

+$5.46

Record

60%

4018-2726 (6744)

MayorMamdani<$100
Up

Invested

$13.69

Value

$21.17

PnL

+$7.48

Record

52%

2890-2619 (5509)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$22.99

Value

$15

PnL

+$0.11

Record

63%

4381-2627 (7008)

SU
suntoriCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$4.67

Value

β€”

PnL

-$4.67

Record

46%

3122-3654 (6776)

ohioism<$100
Up

Invested

$8.5

Value

$10

PnL

+$1.5

Record

47%

2293-2538 (4831)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.8

Value

β€”

PnL

-$1.8

Record

48%

2388-2566 (4954)

FL
flippingsharks<$100
Up

Invested

$3.19

Value

$6.25

PnL

+$3.06

Record

38%

737-1209 (1946)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Up

Invested

$7.12

Value

$2

PnL

+$0.82

Record

39%

1613-2504 (4117)

RA
rabadabadooCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.31

Value

β€”

PnL

-$2.31

Record

47%

1608-1844 (3452)