Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Resolved Down. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
17
Down 53%
$2.6K
-$697.34
Smart Money Signal
9 of 17 top traders (53%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$10.79 | 61% 547-353 (900) |
SO soswald1CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $750 | — | -$708 | 52% 3660-3421 (7081) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.4¢ | $507.1 | $500 | +$3.7 | 54% 3914-3284 (7198) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.7¢ | $456.98 | $463.12 | +$6.14 | 98% 4160-87 (4247) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 89.5¢ | $46.18 | $51.61 | +$5.43 | 52% 2876-2608 (5484) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $54.02 | $50 | -$4.02 | 51% 2371-2247 (4618) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $29.3 | $29.6 | +$0.3 | 51% 2031-1950 (3981) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $15.25 | $15 | -$0.25 | 62% 4354-2613 (6967) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 71¢ | $10.65 | $15 | +$4.35 | 60% 3996-2713 (6709) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Downavg 60¢ | $4.3 | $5.05 | +$0.75 | 47% 1598-1836 (3434) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 5.3¢ | $9.05 | — | -$3.35 | 54% 2550-2139 (4689) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $1.33 | — | -$1.33 | 33% 1149-2293 (3442) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 13.8¢ | $3.45 | — | -$3.45 | 47% 2283-2527 (4810) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 4.7¢ | $4.67 | — | -$4.67 | 39% 1607-2488 (4095) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 36% 1429-2521 (3950) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 5¢ | $1.55 | — | -$1.55 | 44% 2281-2921 (5202) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 8¢ | $2.13 | — | -$2.13 | 50% 2651-2645 (5296) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$10.79
Record
61%
547-353 (900)
Invested
$750
Value
—
PnL
-$708
Record
52%
3660-3421 (7081)
Invested
$507.1
Value
$500
PnL
+$3.7
Record
54%
3914-3284 (7198)
Invested
$456.98
Value
$463.12
PnL
+$6.14
Record
98%
4160-87 (4247)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$46.18
Value
$51.61
PnL
+$5.43
Record
52%
2876-2608 (5484)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$54.02
Value
$50
PnL
-$4.02
Record
51%
2371-2247 (4618)
Invested
$29.3
Value
$29.6
PnL
+$0.3
Record
51%
2031-1950 (3981)
Invested
$15.25
Value
$15
PnL
-$0.25
Record
62%
4354-2613 (6967)
Invested
$10.65
Value
$15
PnL
+$4.35
Record
60%
3996-2713 (6709)
Invested
$4.3
Value
$5.05
PnL
+$0.75
Record
47%
1598-1836 (3434)
Invested
$9.05
Value
—
PnL
-$3.35
Record
54%
2550-2139 (4689)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.33
Value
—
PnL
-$1.33
Record
33%
1149-2293 (3442)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$3.45
Value
—
PnL
-$3.45
Record
47%
2283-2527 (4810)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$4.67
Value
—
PnL
-$4.67
Record
39%
1607-2488 (4095)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
36%
1429-2521 (3950)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$1.55
Value
—
PnL
-$1.55
Record
44%
2281-2921 (5202)
Invested
$2.13
Value
—
PnL
-$2.13
Record
50%
2651-2645 (5296)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Down — $1.5K
soswald1
CTRUp — $0
ByteBadger92
Down — $500
hoodquant
Down — $463.12
MayorMamdani
Down — $51.61
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $50
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $29.6
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $15
aaa221
Down — $15
rabadabadoo
Down — $5.05