Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
Resolved Up. 26% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Up 26%
4 arb excluded
$2.9K
-$282.67
Smart Money Signal
5 of 19 top traders (26%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed14 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.3K | +$4.4 | 61% 552-358 (910) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $661.3 | — | -$651.38 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $670.73 | $1.3K | +$655.78 | |
SO soswald1 | Upavg 50.1¢ | $753.4 | $716 | +$8.74 | 52% 3670-3435 (7105) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $501.7 | $495 | -$1.73 | 54% 3939-3307 (7246) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $250.78 | — | -$250.78 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.7¢ | $245.95 | $495 | +$249.05 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100 | Downavg 61.6¢ | $100.78 | $109.74 | +$8.96 | 50% 3476-3482 (6958) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 61.6¢ | $59.77 | — | -$59.77 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 37.4¢ | $41.01 | $109.74 | +$68.73 | |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 38¢ | $44.24 | $55.81 | +$11.57 | 54% 2562-2153 (4715) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 38¢ | $29.51 | — | -$29.51 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 26.4¢ | $14.74 | $55.81 | +$41.07 | |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Downavg 65¢ | $43.13 | — | -$43.13 | 47% 1608-1844 (3452) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 60.8¢ | $45.09 | $74.16 | +$29.07 | 51% 2039-1965 (4004) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $16.45 | — | -$16.45 | 48% 1421-1515 (2936) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 51.1¢ | $15.4 | — | -$15.4 | 50% 2671-2654 (5325) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 50.9¢ | $15.99 | — | -$15.99 | 67% 3730-1865 (5595) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $48.51 | $49 | +$0.49 | 98% 4191-88 (4279) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR | Downavg 72.9¢ | $108.26 | — | -$105.06 | 51% 2389-2256 (4645) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 76¢ | $15.2 | — | -$15.2 | 60% 4018-2726 (6744) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 73.7¢ | $14.53 | — | -$14.53 | 52% 2890-2619 (5509) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 55.9¢ | $7.45 | — | -$7.45 | 39% 1613-2504 (4117) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.1 | — | -$0.1 | 47% 2293-2538 (4831) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Downavg 52.5¢ | $94.36 | — | -$88.11 | 46% 3122-3654 (6776) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Upavg 38¢ | $3.8 | $10 | +$6.2 | 51% 1062-1015 (2077) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 67.6¢ | $18.98 | — | +$12.32 | 63% 4381-2627 (7008) |
FL flippingsharks<$100 | Upavg 62¢ | $4 | $6.45 | +$2.45 | 38% 737-1209 (1946) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 2.2¢ | $4.45 | — | -$4.45 | 44% 2289-2937 (5226) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 37.6¢ | $10.89 | — | -$10.89 | 48% 2388-2566 (4954) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 37¢ | $5.18 | — | -$5.18 | 48% 2398-2644 (5042) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$4.4
Record
61%
552-358 (910)
Both legs:
Invested
$753.4
Value
$716
PnL
+$8.74
Record
52%
3670-3435 (7105)
Invested
$501.7
Value
$495
PnL
-$1.73
Record
54%
3939-3307 (7246)
Both legs:
Invested
$100.78
Value
$109.74
PnL
+$8.96
Record
50%
3476-3482 (6958)
Both legs:
Invested
$44.24
Value
$55.81
PnL
+$11.57
Record
54%
2562-2153 (4715)
Both legs:
Invested
$43.13
Value
—
PnL
-$43.13
Record
47%
1608-1844 (3452)
Invested
$45.09
Value
$74.16
PnL
+$29.07
Record
51%
2039-1965 (4004)
Invested
$16.45
Value
—
PnL
-$16.45
Record
48%
1421-1515 (2936)
Invested
$15.4
Value
—
PnL
-$15.4
Record
50%
2671-2654 (5325)
Invested
$15.99
Value
—
PnL
-$15.99
Record
67%
3730-1865 (5595)
Invested
$48.51
Value
$49
PnL
+$0.49
Record
98%
4191-88 (4279)
Polkadot-FrogCTRInvested
$108.26
Value
—
PnL
-$105.06
Record
51%
2389-2256 (4645)
Invested
$15.2
Value
—
PnL
-$15.2
Record
60%
4018-2726 (6744)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$14.53
Value
—
PnL
-$14.53
Record
52%
2890-2619 (5509)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$7.45
Value
—
PnL
-$7.45
Record
39%
1613-2504 (4117)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$0.1
Value
—
PnL
-$0.1
Record
47%
2293-2538 (4831)
Invested
$94.36
Value
—
PnL
-$88.11
Record
46%
3122-3654 (6776)
Invested
$3.8
Value
$10
PnL
+$6.2
Record
51%
1062-1015 (2077)
Invested
$18.98
Value
—
PnL
+$12.32
Record
63%
4381-2627 (7008)
Invested
$4
Value
$6.45
PnL
+$2.45
Record
38%
737-1209 (1946)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$4.45
Value
—
PnL
-$4.45
Record
44%
2289-2937 (5226)
Invested
$10.89
Value
—
PnL
-$10.89
Record
48%
2388-2566 (4954)
Invested
$5.18
Value
—
PnL
-$5.18
Record
48%
2398-2644 (5042)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
ARBArbitrage — excluded
soswald1
Up — $716
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
rabadabadoo
CTRDown — $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $74.16
PBot-5
CTRDown — $0
dvasdkasodk
CTRDown — $0
asdaefef
CTRDown — $0