Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Resolved Down. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 44%

Total Value

$2.2K

Combined PnL

-$15.92

Smart Money Signal

Down

11 of 25 top traders (44%)14 hold an outcome priced under 50%22 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down11 traders

Total Value$2.2K

Total Shares2,244

Combined PnL+$28.23

Up14 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares209

Combined PnL-$44.15

Down — 44%Up — 56%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b	Downavg 50¢	$1.5K	$1.4K	+$5.9	61% 547-353 (900)
BY ByteBadger92	Downavg 50.2¢	$504.88	$495.01	+$1.65	54% 3914-3284 (7198)
BoneOhio	Downavg 99¢	$160.14	$161.76	+$1.62	70% 1738-741 (2479)
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Downavg 70¢	$69.78	$49.58	+$5.93	51% 2371-2247 (4618)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 98.2¢	$39.29	$40	+$0.71	98% 4160-87 (4247)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Downavg 55.5¢	$18.75	$31	+$12.25	51% 2031-1950 (3981)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 91.3¢	$19.74	$19	-$0.74	67% 3707-1852 (5559)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Upavg 26¢	$6.87	—	-$6.87	54% 2550-2139 (4689)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 85¢	$8.55	$10.05	+$1.5	50% 2651-2645 (5296)
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100	Upavg 47¢	$5.17	—	-$5.17	58% 5114-3771 (8885)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 85.9¢	$19.15	$4.88	-$0.45	62% 4354-2613 (6967)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 94¢	$5.75	$5.05	-$0.7	65% 2617-1432 (4049)
SU suntoriCTR<$100	Upavg 43¢	$3.73	—	-$3.73	46% 3106-3639 (6745)
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100	Upavg 42.7¢	$2.64	—	-$2.64	47% 1598-1836 (3434)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 60¢	$0.82	$1.37	+$0.55	60% 3996-2713 (6709)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 4¢	$1.32	—	-$1.32	39% 1607-2488 (4095)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 10.3¢	$1.84	—	-$1.84	43% 1909-2581 (4490)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Upavg 4¢	$0.4	—	-$0.4	52% 2876-2608 (5484)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Upavg 4¢	$0.25	—	-$0.25	33% 1149-2293 (3442)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	36% 1429-2521 (3950)
SO soswald1CTR<$100	Upavg 23¢	$9.51	—	-$9.51	52% 3660-3421 (7081)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Upavg 13.2¢	$5.09	—	-$5.09	50% 3448-3455 (6903)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 46¢	$3.68	—	-$3.68	48% 2388-2630 (5018)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 45¢	$2.25	—	-$2.25	47% 2283-2527 (4810)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 45¢	$1.35	—	-$1.35	48% 2372-2557 (4929)