Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Resolved Up. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
21
Up 71%
1 arb excluded
$3.0K
$94.1
Smart Money Signal
15 of 21 top traders (71%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.4K | +$4.58 | 61% 547-353 (900) |
SO soswald1 | Upavg 50.2¢ | $754 | $745 | +$7.95 | 52% 3660-3421 (7081) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $506.97 | $495 | +$1.97 | 54% 3914-3284 (7198) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.4¢ | $244.56 | $495 | +$248.1 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $245.85 | — | -$246.13 | |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710 | Upavg 15.5¢ | $17.08 | $110.09 | +$93.01 | 43% 1909-2581 (4490) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $102.96 | $104 | +$1.04 | 98% 4160-87 (4247) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 65.9¢ | $60.14 | $54.83 | -$4.96 | 51% 2371-2247 (4618) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 52.7¢ | $25.84 | — | -$25.84 | 54% 2550-2139 (4689) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 36.5¢ | $8.7 | $16.44 | +$8.1 | 62% 4354-2613 (6967) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 57.5¢ | $12.66 | $17.07 | +$4.41 | 67% 3707-1852 (5559) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 26.1¢ | $5.85 | — | -$5.85 | 44% 2281-2921 (5202) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 36.3¢ | $4.22 | $11.62 | +$7.4 | 47% 1598-1836 (3434) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 88¢ | $5.6 | $5 | -$0.6 | 65% 2617-1432 (4049) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 29.5¢ | $8.71 | — | -$5.21 | 48% 2388-2630 (5018) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 72¢ | $3.6 | $5 | +$1.4 | 52% 2876-2608 (5484) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 44.9¢ | $4.14 | — | -$4.14 | 60% 3996-2713 (6709) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Upavg 73¢ | $3.65 | $5 | +$1.35 | 59% 1099-753 (1852) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Upavg 72¢ | $3.6 | $5 | +$1.4 | 58% 5114-3771 (8885) |
SU suntori<$100 | Upavg 42¢ | $1.86 | $4.43 | +$2.57 | 46% 3106-3639 (6745) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 29¢ | $1.45 | — | -$1.45 | 48% 2372-2557 (4929) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 21¢ | $1.54 | $7.33 | +$5.79 | 39% 1607-2488 (4095) |
FL flippingsharks<$100 | Upavg 20¢ | $1.05 | $5.25 | +$4.2 | 38% 731-1196 (1927) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 14¢ | $1.05 | — | -$1.05 | 50% 2651-2645 (5296) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$4.58
Record
61%
547-353 (900)
Invested
$754
Value
$745
PnL
+$7.95
Record
52%
3660-3421 (7081)
Invested
$506.97
Value
$495
PnL
+$1.97
Record
54%
3914-3284 (7198)
Both legs:
Invested
$17.08
Value
$110.09
PnL
+$93.01
Record
43%
1909-2581 (4490)
Invested
$102.96
Value
$104
PnL
+$1.04
Record
98%
4160-87 (4247)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$60.14
Value
$54.83
PnL
-$4.96
Record
51%
2371-2247 (4618)
Invested
$25.84
Value
—
PnL
-$25.84
Record
54%
2550-2139 (4689)
Invested
$8.7
Value
$16.44
PnL
+$8.1
Record
62%
4354-2613 (6967)
Invested
$12.66
Value
$17.07
PnL
+$4.41
Record
67%
3707-1852 (5559)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$5.85
Value
—
PnL
-$5.85
Record
44%
2281-2921 (5202)
Invested
$4.22
Value
$11.62
PnL
+$7.4
Record
47%
1598-1836 (3434)
Invested
$5.6
Value
$5
PnL
-$0.6
Record
65%
2617-1432 (4049)
Invested
$8.71
Value
—
PnL
-$5.21
Record
48%
2388-2630 (5018)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$3.6
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.4
Record
52%
2876-2608 (5484)
Invested
$4.14
Value
—
PnL
-$4.14
Record
60%
3996-2713 (6709)
Invested
$3.65
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.35
Record
59%
1099-753 (1852)
Invested
$3.6
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.4
Record
58%
5114-3771 (8885)
Invested
$1.86
Value
$4.43
PnL
+$2.57
Record
46%
3106-3639 (6745)
Invested
$1.45
Value
—
PnL
-$1.45
Record
48%
2372-2557 (4929)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$1.54
Value
$7.33
PnL
+$5.79
Record
39%
1607-2488 (4095)
Invested
$1.05
Value
$5.25
PnL
+$4.2
Record
38%
731-1196 (1927)
Invested
$1.05
Value
—
PnL
-$1.05
Record
50%
2651-2645 (5296)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up — $1.4K
soswald1
Up — $745
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up — $110.09
hoodquant
Up — $104
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $54.83
ply-pm2
CTRDown — $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Up — $16.44
asdaefef
Up — $17.07
G-Penis-Monster
CTRDown — $0