Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
18
Down 67%
$2.9K
-$725.64
Smart Money Signal
12 of 18 top traders (67%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Downavg 50Β’ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$1.44 | 61% 547-353 (900) |
SO soswald1CTR | Upavg 50Β’ | $750 | β | -$750 | 52% 3660-3421 (7081) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.9Β’ | $543.26 | $549.24 | +$5.98 | 98% 4160-87 (4247) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.1Β’ | $503.15 | $505 | +$3.56 | 54% 3914-3284 (7198) |
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9Β’ | $272.3 | $272 | -$0.3 | 52% 1489-1357 (2846) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Downavg 63.9Β’ | $42.81 | $67 | +$24.19 | 51% 1057-1008 (2065) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Downavg 96Β’ | $19.2 | $20 | +$0.8 | 47% 2283-2527 (4810) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 86.7Β’ | $10.96 | $11.45 | +$0.49 | 67% 3707-1852 (5559) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 83Β’ | $7.47 | $9 | +$1.53 | 54% 2550-2139 (4689) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 94Β’ | $4.8 | $5.11 | +$0.31 | 65% 2617-1432 (4049) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 94Β’ | $4.8 | $5.11 | +$0.31 | 50% 2651-2645 (5296) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 96.9Β’ | $41.33 | $4 | -$3.14 | 51% 2371-2247 (4618) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 86Β’ | $3.39 | $3.94 | +$0.55 | 62% 4354-2613 (6967) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Upavg 17Β’ | $1.86 | β | -$1.86 | 46% 3106-3639 (6745) |
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100 | Upavg 22Β’ | $1.38 | β | -$1.38 | 38% 731-1196 (1927) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 13.3Β’ | $3.17 | β | -$3.17 | 43% 1909-2581 (4490) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 1.8Β’ | $2.05 | β | -$2.05 | 33% 1149-2293 (3442) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 6.3Β’ | $2.9 | β | -$2.9 | 39% 1607-2488 (4095) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$1.44
Record
61%
547-353 (900)
Invested
$750
Value
β
PnL
-$750
Record
52%
3660-3421 (7081)
Invested
$543.26
Value
$549.24
PnL
+$5.98
Record
98%
4160-87 (4247)
Invested
$503.15
Value
$505
PnL
+$3.56
Record
54%
3914-3284 (7198)
Invested
$272.3
Value
$272
PnL
-$0.3
Record
52%
1489-1357 (2846)
Invested
$42.81
Value
$67
PnL
+$24.19
Record
51%
1057-1008 (2065)
ohioism<$100Invested
$19.2
Value
$20
PnL
+$0.8
Record
47%
2283-2527 (4810)
Invested
$10.96
Value
$11.45
PnL
+$0.49
Record
67%
3707-1852 (5559)
Invested
$7.47
Value
$9
PnL
+$1.53
Record
54%
2550-2139 (4689)
Invested
$4.8
Value
$5.11
PnL
+$0.31
Record
65%
2617-1432 (4049)
Invested
$4.8
Value
$5.11
PnL
+$0.31
Record
50%
2651-2645 (5296)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$41.33
Value
$4
PnL
-$3.14
Record
51%
2371-2247 (4618)
Invested
$3.39
Value
$3.94
PnL
+$0.55
Record
62%
4354-2613 (6967)
Invested
$1.86
Value
β
PnL
-$1.86
Record
46%
3106-3639 (6745)
Invested
$1.38
Value
β
PnL
-$1.38
Record
38%
731-1196 (1927)
Invested
$3.17
Value
β
PnL
-$3.17
Record
43%
1909-2581 (4490)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$2.05
Value
β
PnL
-$2.05
Record
33%
1149-2293 (3442)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$2.9
Value
β
PnL
-$2.9
Record
39%
1607-2488 (4095)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Down β $1.5K
soswald1
CTRUp β $0
hoodquant
Down β $549.24
ByteBadger92
Down β $505
0x50f7
Down β $272
Little-big
Down β $67

ohioism
Down β $20
asdaefef
Down β $11.45
ply-pm2
Down β $9
asidjasiodja
Down β $5.11