Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
Resolved Down. 61% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
23
Up 61%
$300.75
$-2.0K
Smart Money Signal
14 of 23 top traders (61%)14 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.5K | 61% 540-347 (887) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 54% 3871-3256 (7127) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.9¢ | $204.58 | $206.89 | +$2.31 | 98% 4120-86 (4206) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 89.7¢ | $65.79 | $37.65 | -$3.7 | 51% 2355-2225 (4580) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 59.5¢ | $35.09 | — | -$35.09 | 51% 2012-1937 (3949) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 61.9¢ | $17.01 | $20.22 | +$3.21 | 48% 2352-2543 (4895) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 60¢ | $9 | — | -$9 | 60% 3969-2697 (6666) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Upavg 6.8¢ | $6.01 | — | -$6.01 | 52% 3641-3403 (7044) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 41¢ | $5.13 | $9.3 | +$4.17 | 44% 2263-2898 (5161) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Downavg 40¢ | $2.28 | $5.7 | +$3.42 | 47% 1588-1821 (3409) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $5.9 | $5 | -$0.9 | 67% 3669-1840 (5509) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 44¢ | $4.25 | — | -$4.25 | 47% 2362-2616 (4978) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $4.45 | $5 | +$0.55 | 62% 4316-2591 (6907) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 40¢ | $2 | $5 | +$3 | 47% 2261-2512 (4773) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 73¢ | $4.38 | $6 | +$1.62 | 54% 2526-2126 (4652) |
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100 | Upavg 30.4¢ | $4.47 | — | -$4.47 | 38% 726-1178 (1904) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 6.9¢ | $2.41 | — | -$2.41 | 52% 2858-2596 (5454) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.55 | — | -$0.55 | 33% 1139-2277 (3416) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 7¢ | $1.04 | — | -$1.04 | 50% 2621-2631 (5252) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $5.2 | — | -$5.2 | 52% 1476-1351 (2827) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 4¢ | $0.2 | — | -$0.2 | 39% 1590-2469 (4059) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 36% 1423-2510 (3933) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 15.7¢ | $2.07 | — | -$2.07 | 43% 1894-2540 (4434) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.5K
Record
61%
540-347 (887)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
54%
3871-3256 (7127)
Invested
$204.58
Value
$206.89
PnL
+$2.31
Record
98%
4120-86 (4206)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$65.79
Value
$37.65
PnL
-$3.7
Record
51%
2355-2225 (4580)
Invested
$35.09
Value
—
PnL
-$35.09
Record
51%
2012-1937 (3949)
Invested
$17.01
Value
$20.22
PnL
+$3.21
Record
48%
2352-2543 (4895)
Invested
$9
Value
—
PnL
-$9
Record
60%
3969-2697 (6666)
Invested
$6.01
Value
—
PnL
-$6.01
Record
52%
3641-3403 (7044)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$5.13
Value
$9.3
PnL
+$4.17
Record
44%
2263-2898 (5161)
Invested
$2.28
Value
$5.7
PnL
+$3.42
Record
47%
1588-1821 (3409)
Invested
$5.9
Value
$5
PnL
-$0.9
Record
67%
3669-1840 (5509)
Invested
$4.25
Value
—
PnL
-$4.25
Record
47%
2362-2616 (4978)
Invested
$4.45
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.55
Record
62%
4316-2591 (6907)
ohioism<$100Invested
$2
Value
$5
PnL
+$3
Record
47%
2261-2512 (4773)
Invested
$4.38
Value
$6
PnL
+$1.62
Record
54%
2526-2126 (4652)
Invested
$4.47
Value
—
PnL
-$4.47
Record
38%
726-1178 (1904)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$2.41
Value
—
PnL
-$2.41
Record
52%
2858-2596 (5454)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.55
Value
—
PnL
-$0.55
Record
33%
1139-2277 (3416)
Invested
$1.04
Value
—
PnL
-$1.04
Record
50%
2621-2631 (5252)
Invested
$5.2
Value
—
PnL
-$5.2
Record
52%
1476-1351 (2827)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$0.2
Value
—
PnL
-$0.2
Record
39%
1590-2469 (4059)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
36%
1423-2510 (3933)
Invested
$2.07
Value
—
PnL
-$2.07
Record
43%
1894-2540 (4434)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRUp — $0
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
hoodquant
Down — $206.89
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $37.65
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp — $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $20.22
aaa221
CTRUp — $0
soswald1
CTRUp — $0
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $9.3
rabadabadoo
Down — $5.7