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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Resolved Down. 61% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

23

Down 61%

Total Value

$2.4K

Combined PnL

$10.5

Smart Money Signal

Down

14 of 23 top traders (61%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down14 traders
Total Value$2.4K
Total Shares2,423
Combined PnL+$35.39
Up9 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares365
Combined PnL-$24.89
Down — 61%Up — 39%
0X
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Down

Invested

$1,500

Value

$1.5K

PnL

+$3.55

Record

61%

540-347 (887)

BY
ByteBadger92
Down

Invested

$507.6

Value

$500

PnL

+$4.11

Record

54%

3871-3256 (7127)

HO
hoodquant
Down

Invested

$174.77

Value

$177.25

PnL

+$2.48

Record

98%

4120-86 (4206)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Down

Invested

$49.64

Value

$52.27

PnL

+$2.63

Record

50%

3424-3398 (6822)

Polkadot-Frog<$100
Down

Invested

$53.13

Value

$57.1

PnL

+$8.87

Record

51%

2355-2225 (4580)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Down

Invested

$33.07

Value

$33.43

PnL

+$0.56

Record

67%

3669-1840 (5509)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Down

Invested

$33.03

Value

$33

PnL

-$0.03

Record

39%

1590-2469 (4059)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100
Down

Invested

$30.05

Value

$35

PnL

+$4.95

Record

47%

2362-2616 (4978)

RA
rabadabadoo<$100
Down

Invested

$18.95

Value

$22.64

PnL

+$3.69

Record

47%

1588-1821 (3409)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$18.43

Value

$18.67

PnL

+$0.24

Record

62%

4316-2591 (6907)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Down

Invested

$10.35

Value

$15

PnL

+$4.65

Record

54%

2526-2126 (4652)

MayorMamdani<$100
Down

Invested

$6.02

Value

$5

PnL

-$1.02

Record

52%

2858-2596 (5454)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Down

Invested

$4.95

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.05

Record

65%

2592-1424 (4016)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$5.41

Value

—

PnL

-$5.41

Record

43%

1894-2540 (4434)

FL
flippingsharksCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.44

Value

—

PnL

-$2.44

Record

38%

726-1178 (1904)

BoneOhioCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$4.41

Value

—

PnL

-$4.41

Record

70%

1728-737 (2465)

HC
HcrystallashCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.1

Value

—

PnL

-$2.1

Record

58%

5103-3764 (8867)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.17

Value

—

PnL

-$2.17

Record

33%

1139-2277 (3416)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100
Down

Invested

$0.95

Value

$1.61

PnL

+$0.66

Record

48%

2352-2543 (4895)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.04

Value

—

PnL

-$1.04

Record

50%

2621-2631 (5252)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$4

Value

—

PnL

-$4

Record

44%

2263-2898 (5161)

SO
soswald1CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$3.22

Value

—

PnL

-$3.22

Record

52%

3641-3403 (7044)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.1

Value

—

PnL

-$0.1

Record

36%

1423-2510 (3933)