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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

14

Up 54%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.7K

Combined PnL

-$18.48

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 14 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up8 traders
Total Value$2.2K
Total Shares2,159
Combined PnL+$14.69
Down6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares367
Combined PnL-$33.17
Up — 57%Down — 43%
0X
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up

Invested

$1,500

Value

$1.5K

PnL

-$0.82

Record

61%

540-347 (887)

HO
hoodquant
Up

Invested

$589.51

Value

$596

PnL

+$6.49

Record

98%

4120-86 (4206)

BY
ByteBadger92ARB<$100
Down

Invested

$501.85

Value

$500

PnL

-$1.85

Record

54%

3871-3256 (7127)

Both legs:

Up$25050¢+$250
Down$251.8550¢-$251.85
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Up

Invested

$31.77

Value

$33.56

PnL

+$1.79

Record

50%

3424-3398 (6822)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Up

Invested

$23.76

Value

$23

PnL

-$0.46

Record

39%

1590-2469 (4059)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$19.43

Value

$19.07

PnL

-$0.36

Record

67%

3669-1840 (5509)

Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$49.36

Value

—

PnL

-$20.56

Record

51%

2355-2225 (4580)

0X
0x50f7CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$3.07

Value

—

PnL

-$3.07

Record

52%

1476-1351 (2827)

RA
rabadabadoo<$100
Up

Invested

$3.69

Value

$6.25

PnL

+$2.56

Record

47%

1588-1821 (3409)

FL
flippingsharks<$100
Up

Invested

$2.71

Value

$6.3

PnL

+$3.59

Record

38%

726-1178 (1904)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$3.13

Value

—

PnL

-$3.13

Record

54%

2526-2126 (4652)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.38

Value

—

PnL

-$1.38

Record

43%

1894-2540 (4434)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.44

Value

—

PnL

-$1.44

Record

52%

2858-2596 (5454)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$3.59

Value

—

PnL

-$3.59

Record

48%

2352-2543 (4895)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$2.75

Value

—

PnL

+$1.9

Record

62%

4316-2591 (6907)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x88adf118...fb3535
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1794723900

Traders in this Market

0X

0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b

Up — $1.5K

-$0.82
HO

hoodquant

Up — $596

+$6.49
BY

ByteBadger92

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$1.85
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $33.56

+$1.79

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $23

-$0.46
AS

asdaefef

Up — $19.07

-$0.36

Polkadot-Frog

CTR

Down — $0

-$20.56
0X

0x50f7

CTR

Down — $0

-$3.07
RA

rabadabadoo

Up — $6.25

+$2.56
FL

flippingsharks

Up — $6.3

+$3.59
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