Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
Back to Markets

Consensus Won βœ“

Smart money consensus was Up β€” and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

πŸ†

Won

Consensus Traders

21

Up 57%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.5K

Combined PnL

$13

Smart Money Signal

Up

12 of 21 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up12 traders
Total Value$2.0K
Total Shares1,963
Combined PnL+$49.01
Down9 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares306
Combined PnL-$36.01
Up β€” 57%Down β€” 43%
0X
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up

Invested

$1,500

Value

$1.4K

PnL

-$7.93

Record

61%

540-347 (887)

BY
ByteBadger92ARB<$100
Down

Invested

$505.2

Value

$490

PnL

-$9.9

Record

54%

3871-3256 (7127)

Both legs:

Down$255.250Β’-$255.2
Up$24550Β’+$245.3
HO
hoodquant
Up

Invested

$327.57

Value

$330.88

PnL

+$3.31

Record

98%

4120-86 (4206)

SO
soswald1<$100
Up

Invested

$19.69

Value

$41.09

PnL

+$21.4

Record

52%

3641-3403 (7044)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100
Up

Invested

$36.69

Value

$71.29

PnL

+$34.6

Record

51%

2012-1937 (3949)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$14.91

Value

β€”

PnL

-$14.91

Record

54%

2526-2126 (4652)

Polkadot-Frog<$100
Up

Invested

$20.83

Value

$17

PnL

+$1.12

Record

51%

2355-2225 (4580)

SU
suntori<$100
Up

Invested

$33.46

Value

$16.66

PnL

-$4.92

Record

46%

3088-3615 (6703)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Up

Invested

$15.21

Value

$15

PnL

-$0.21

Record

39%

1590-2469 (4059)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$11.1

Value

$10

PnL

-$0.9

Record

67%

3669-1840 (5509)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$7.12

Value

$8

PnL

+$0.88

Record

62%

4316-2591 (6907)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Up

Invested

$6.2

Value

$5.39

PnL

-$0.81

Record

50%

2621-2631 (5252)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100
Up

Invested

$4.64

Value

$8

PnL

+$3.36

Record

48%

2352-2543 (4895)

PB
PBot-5CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$3.76

Value

β€”

PnL

-$3.76

Record

49%

1410-1488 (2898)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Up

Invested

$3.51

Value

$2.61

PnL

-$0.9

Record

65%

2592-1424 (4016)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.89

Value

β€”

PnL

-$1.89

Record

60%

3969-2697 (6666)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.8

Value

β€”

PnL

-$1.8

Record

47%

2362-2616 (4978)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.78

Value

β€”

PnL

-$0.78

Record

52%

2858-2596 (5454)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.45

Value

β€”

PnL

-$1.45

Record

44%

2263-2898 (5161)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.31

Value

β€”

PnL

-$1.31

Record

33%

1139-2277 (3416)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$10.03

Value

β€”

PnL

-$10.03

Record

50%

3424-3398 (6822)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.08

Value

β€”

PnL

-$0.08

Record

43%

1894-2540 (4434)