Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
27
Down 67%
$3.7K
-$9.01
Smart Money Signal
18 of 27 top traders (67%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.4K | +$4.56 | 61% 533-343 (876) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.7¢ | $801.4 | $811.76 | +$10.36 | 98% 4086-84 (4170) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710 | Downavg 93.8¢ | $575.29 | $511 | +$35.12 | 43% 1879-2519 (4398) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.7¢ | $508.39 | $499.99 | +$6.4 | 54% 3849-3219 (7068) |
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $284.75 | $285.05 | +$0.3 | 52% 1470-1346 (2816) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 84.7¢ | $42.02 | $33.42 | -$1.24 | 50% 3397-3361 (6758) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR | Upavg 27.4¢ | $207.58 | — | -$23.38 | 51% 2336-2212 (4548) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $22.2 | $30 | +$7.8 | 48% 2338-2522 (4860) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 90.4¢ | $19.89 | $22 | +$2.11 | 52% 2844-2584 (5428) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 27.5¢ | $15.45 | — | -$15.45 | 54% 2509-2112 (4621) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 81.8¢ | $17.7 | $18.49 | +$0.79 | 67% 3650-1820 (5470) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 52.4¢ | $17.87 | — | -$17.87 | 51% 1998-1928 (3926) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $13.5 | $15 | +$1.5 | 70% 1721-726 (2447) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $9.5 | $10 | +$0.5 | 60% 3949-2687 (6636) |
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100 | Upavg 39¢ | $8.54 | — | -$8.54 | 58% 5095-3753 (8848) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 76.3¢ | $8.99 | $11.77 | +$2.78 | 47% 2348-2603 (4951) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | $6.32 | $8 | +$1.68 | 44% 2246-2882 (5128) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $4.15 | $5.61 | +$1.46 | 65% 2580-1409 (3989) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 64¢ | $4.39 | $5 | +$0.61 | 47% 2247-2492 (4739) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Upavg 18.8¢ | $17.44 | — | -$10.24 | 52% 3621-3392 (7013) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 72.6¢ | $5.28 | $7.27 | +$1.99 | 50% 2598-2611 (5209) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 1.3¢ | $2.05 | — | -$2.05 | 33% 1131-2266 (3397) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Downavg 53¢ | $3.07 | $5.79 | +$2.72 | 47% 1582-1804 (3386) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 4¢ | $4.13 | — | -$4.13 | 39% 1577-2453 (4030) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $2.17 | — | -$2.17 | 50% 889-885 (1774) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$4.56
Record
61%
533-343 (876)
Invested
$801.4
Value
$811.76
PnL
+$10.36
Record
98%
4086-84 (4170)
Invested
$575.29
Value
$511
PnL
+$35.12
Record
43%
1879-2519 (4398)
Invested
$508.39
Value
$499.99
PnL
+$6.4
Record
54%
3849-3219 (7068)
Invested
$284.75
Value
$285.05
PnL
+$0.3
Record
52%
1470-1346 (2816)
Invested
$42.02
Value
$33.42
PnL
-$1.24
Record
50%
3397-3361 (6758)
Polkadot-FrogCTRInvested
$207.58
Value
—
PnL
-$23.38
Record
51%
2336-2212 (4548)
Invested
$22.2
Value
$30
PnL
+$7.8
Record
48%
2338-2522 (4860)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$19.89
Value
$22
PnL
+$2.11
Record
52%
2844-2584 (5428)
Invested
$15.45
Value
—
PnL
-$15.45
Record
54%
2509-2112 (4621)
Invested
$17.7
Value
$18.49
PnL
+$0.79
Record
67%
3650-1820 (5470)
Invested
$17.87
Value
—
PnL
-$17.87
Record
51%
1998-1928 (3926)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$13.5
Value
$15
PnL
+$1.5
Record
70%
1721-726 (2447)
Invested
$9.5
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.5
Record
60%
3949-2687 (6636)
Invested
$8.54
Value
—
PnL
-$8.54
Record
58%
5095-3753 (8848)
Invested
$8.99
Value
$11.77
PnL
+$2.78
Record
47%
2348-2603 (4951)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$6.32
Value
$8
PnL
+$1.68
Record
44%
2246-2882 (5128)
Invested
$4.15
Value
$5.61
PnL
+$1.46
Record
65%
2580-1409 (3989)
ohioism<$100Invested
$4.39
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.61
Record
47%
2247-2492 (4739)
Invested
$17.44
Value
—
PnL
-$10.24
Record
52%
3621-3392 (7013)
Invested
$5.28
Value
$7.27
PnL
+$1.99
Record
50%
2598-2611 (5209)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$2.05
Value
—
PnL
-$2.05
Record
33%
1131-2266 (3397)
Invested
$3.07
Value
$5.79
PnL
+$2.72
Record
47%
1582-1804 (3386)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$4.13
Value
—
PnL
-$4.13
Record
39%
1577-2453 (4030)
Invested
$2.17
Value
—
PnL
-$2.17
Record
50%
889-885 (1774)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Down — $1.4K
hoodquant
Down — $811.76
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Down — $511
ByteBadger92
Down — $499.99
0x50f7
Down — $285.05
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $33.42
Polkadot-Frog
CTRUp — $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $30
MayorMamdani
Down — $22
ply-pm2
CTRUp — $0