Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Resolved Down. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 83%

Total Value

$2.1K

Combined PnL

$-1.1K

Smart Money Signal

Down

25 of 30 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,474

Combined PnL$-1.4K

Down25 traders

Total Value$2.1K

Total Shares2,083

Combined PnL+$269.96

Up — 17%Down — 83%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR	Upavg 50¢	$1.5K	—	$-1.4K	61% 533-343 (876)
BY ByteBadger92	Downavg 51¢	$517.65	$504.23	+$13.81	54% 3849-3219 (7068)
pspspsps5	Downavg 84.2¢	$248.11	$294.64	+$46.53	33% 1131-2266 (3397)
HO hoodquant	Downavg 98.7¢	$157.49	$159.52	+$2.03	98% 4086-84 (4170)
AL almach	Downavg 84¢	$126	$150	+$24	52% 1539-1442 (2981)
MO mo-money	Downavg 84¢	$126	$150	+$24	51% 1530-1451 (2981)
BO bosona	Downavg 84¢	$126	$150	+$24	51% 4780-4566 (9346)
LI Little-big	Downavg 56¢	$67.73	$121	+$53.27	51% 1045-996 (2041)
PL ply-pm2	Downavg 79.9¢	$100.5	$120	+$19.5	54% 2509-2112 (4621)
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Downavg 74.8¢	$96.43	$97	+$22.37	51% 2336-2212 (4548)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Downavg 89.9¢	$58.65	$65.27	+$6.62	39% 1577-2453 (4030)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Downavg 85¢	$60.5	$64	+$3.5	50% 3397-3361 (6758)
SO soswald1<$100	Downavg 79.3¢	$28.55	$36	+$7.45	52% 3621-3392 (7013)
BoneOhio<$100	Downavg 76¢	$19.02	$25.02	+$6	70% 1721-726 (2447)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 90.4¢	$22.6	$25	+$2.4	48% 2338-2522 (4860)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 87.4¢	$21.63	$22	+$0.74	67% 3650-1820 (5470)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Downavg 71¢	$14.91	$21	+$6.09	51% 1998-1928 (3926)
0X 0x50f7<$100	Downavg 99.9¢	$17.13	$17.15	+$0.02	52% 1470-1346 (2816)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Downavg 93¢	$13.95	$15	+$1.05	44% 2246-2882 (5128)
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 72.3¢	$8.35	$11	+$2.65	52% 2844-2584 (5428)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Downavg 91¢	$9.1	$10	+$0.9	47% 2348-2603 (4951)
RA rabadabadoo<$100	Downavg 82¢	$5.31	$5.12	-$0.19	47% 1582-1804 (3386)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 93¢	$4.8	$5.16	+$0.36	50% 2598-2611 (5209)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 93¢	$4.8	$5.16	+$0.36	65% 2580-1409 (3989)
ohioism<$100	Downavg 92¢	$4.6	$5	+$0.4	47% 2247-2492 (4739)