Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Resolved Down. 91% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 91%

Total Value

$4.2K

Combined PnL

$366.91

Smart Money Signal

Down

21 of 23 top traders (91%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down21 traders

Total Value$4.2K

Total Shares4,185

Combined PnL+$380.72

Up2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares581

Combined PnL-$13.81

Down — 91%Up — 9%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b	Downavg 50¢	$1.5K	$1.4K	+$12.79	61% 533-343 (876)
SO soswald1	Downavg 50.1¢	$753.35	$755	+$11.6	52% 3621-3392 (7013)
HO hoodquant	Downavg 98.3¢	$566.38	$576	+$9.62	98% 4086-84 (4170)
BY ByteBadger92	Downavg 50.5¢	$521.09	$500.01	+$16.2	54% 3849-3219 (7068)
pspspsps5	Downavg 95.4¢	$101.82	$105.7	+$3.88	33% 1131-2266 (3397)
AL almach	Downavg 54¢	$81	$150	+$69	52% 1539-1442 (2981)
BO bosona	Downavg 54¢	$81	$150	+$69	51% 4780-4566 (9346)
MO mo-money	Downavg 56¢	$84	$150	+$66	51% 1530-1451 (2981)
PL ply-pm2	Downavg 57.6¢	$60.45	$105	+$44.55	54% 2509-2112 (4621)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Downavg 85.6¢	$56.65	$66.16	+$9.51	39% 1577-2453 (4030)
0X 0x50f7<$100	Downavg 99.9¢	$56.93	$57	+$0.08	52% 1470-1346 (2816)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 69¢	$52.13	$65.99	+$13.86	60% 3949-2687 (6636)
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Downavg 71.6¢	$97.67	$30	+$26.14	51% 2336-2212 (4548)
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 84.5¢	$16.81	$19.91	+$3.09	52% 2844-2584 (5428)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Downavg 66.1¢	$14.54	$22	+$7.46	47% 2348-2603 (4951)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Downavg 65¢	$14.67	$15	+$0.33	50% 3397-3361 (6758)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 81.7¢	$12.25	$15	+$2.75	62% 4286-2574 (6860)
ohioism<$100	Downavg 67¢	$13.4	$20	+$6.6	47% 2247-2492 (4739)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Downavg 63¢	$6.3	$10	+$3.7	44% 2246-2882 (5128)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 74¢	$3.85	$5.2	+$1.35	67% 3650-1820 (5470)
RA rabadabadoo<$100	Downavg 47¢	$2.85	$6.06	+$3.21	47% 1582-1804 (3386)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 2.4¢	$13.76	—	-$13.76	43% 1879-2519 (4398)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	36% 1413-2501 (3914)