Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Resolved Up. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Down 61%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.2K

Combined PnL

$-2.4K

Smart Money Signal

Down

14 of 24 top traders (58%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed14 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down14 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares2,781

Combined PnL$-2.5K

Up10 traders

Total Value$368.48

Total Shares368

Combined PnL+$82.67

Down — 58%Up — 42%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR	Downavg 50¢	$1.5K	—	$-1.4K	61% 533-343 (876)
SO soswald1ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$750	$705.78	-$13.77	52% 3621-3392 (7013)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$352.89	$705.78	+$348.79
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$359.76	—	-$362.56
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Downavg 51.5¢	$529.44	—	-$502.28	54% 3849-3219 (7068)
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Downavg 74.5¢	$174.63	$130.84	-$43.79	54% 2509-2112 (4621)
└ Up leg	Upavg 48.1¢	$62.89	$130.84	+$67.95
└ Down leg	Downavg 74.5¢	$111.74	—	-$111.74
BO bosonaCTR	Downavg 77¢	$115.5	—	-$115.5	51% 4780-4566 (9346)
MO mo-moneyCTR	Downavg 77¢	$115.5	—	-$115.5	51% 1530-1451 (2981)
AL almachCTR	Downavg 77¢	$115.5	—	-$115.5	52% 1539-1442 (2981)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 99¢	$117.09	$118.27	+$1.18	98% 4086-84 (4170)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR	Downavg 36.8¢	$115.66	—	-$105.76	50% 3397-3361 (6758)
LI Little-big<$100	Upavg 52.8¢	$44.87	$85	+$40.13	51% 1045-996 (2041)
RA rabadabadoo<$100	Upavg 46.1¢	$42.35	$47.53	+$5.99	47% 1582-1804 (3386)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 69.6¢	$34.31	—	-$34.31	33% 1131-2266 (3397)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100	Downavg 44.8¢	$28.32	—	-$28.32	51% 2336-2212 (4548)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Upavg 65.8¢	$56.8	$67	+$10.2	51% 1998-1928 (3926)
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100	Downavg 19.9¢	$11.06	—	-$11.06	38% 719-1166 (1885)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 73.9¢	$13.5	$18.25	+$4.75	62% 4286-2574 (6860)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Downavg 70.9¢	$11.34	—	-$11.34	52% 2844-2584 (5428)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 34¢	$4.6	—	-$4.6	47% 2247-2492 (4739)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 24¢	$6.52	$16.25	+$9.73	44% 2246-2882 (5128)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 54.6¢	$24.09	—	-$22.19	47% 2348-2603 (4951)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Upavg 47¢	$2.82	$6	+$3.18	43% 1879-2519 (4398)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 57¢	$2.95	$5.18	+$2.23	39% 1577-2453 (4030)
PB PBot-5CTR<$100	Downavg 50¢	$1.85	—	-$1.85	49% 1398-1473 (2871)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 23¢	$1.15	$5	+$3.85	48% 2338-2522 (4860)
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100	Downavg 48.6¢	$16.52	—	-$16.52	58% 5095-3753 (8848)