Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
Resolved Up. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
20
Up 55%
$1.9K
-$524.95
Smart Money Signal
11 of 20 top traders (55%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50Β’ | $1.5K | $1.4K | +$6.78 | 61% 533-343 (876) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 50Β’ | $500 | β | -$500 | 54% 3849-3219 (7068) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.9Β’ | $256.05 | $259 | +$2.95 | 98% 4086-84 (4170) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 89.6Β’ | $53.76 | $37.83 | -$15.92 | 50% 3397-3361 (6758) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 82.8Β’ | $24.85 | $30 | +$5.15 | 52% 3621-3392 (7013) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 73Β’ | $26.28 | $36 | +$9.72 | 51% 1998-1928 (3926) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 93Β’ | $17.67 | $19 | +$1.33 | 39% 1577-2453 (4030) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 72Β’ | $12.69 | $15 | +$2.31 | 54% 2509-2112 (4621) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 68Β’ | $12.99 | $12 | +$3.35 | 60% 3949-2687 (6636) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 28Β’ | $11.01 | β | -$11.01 | 47% 2247-2492 (4739) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 96Β’ | $4.85 | $5.05 | +$0.2 | 67% 3650-1820 (5470) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 71Β’ | $4.5 | $5 | +$0.5 | 51% 2336-2212 (4548) |
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100 | Downavg 50Β’ | $5 | β | -$5 | 58% 5095-3753 (8848) |
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100 | Downavg 28Β’ | $3.66 | β | -$3.66 | 38% 719-1166 (1885) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 66Β’ | $3.3 | $5 | +$1.7 | 62% 4286-2574 (6860) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 9Β’ | $1.08 | β | -$1.08 | 50% 2598-2611 (5209) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 28.1Β’ | $11.25 | β | -$11.25 | 47% 2348-2603 (4951) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Downavg 32.7Β’ | $7.36 | β | -$7.36 | 47% 1582-1804 (3386) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 26Β’ | $3.12 | β | -$3.12 | 48% 2338-2522 (4860) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 27Β’ | $0.54 | β | -$0.54 | 44% 2246-2882 (5128) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$6.78
Record
61%
533-343 (876)
Invested
$500
Value
β
PnL
-$500
Record
54%
3849-3219 (7068)
Invested
$256.05
Value
$259
PnL
+$2.95
Record
98%
4086-84 (4170)
Invested
$53.76
Value
$37.83
PnL
-$15.92
Record
50%
3397-3361 (6758)
Invested
$24.85
Value
$30
PnL
+$5.15
Record
52%
3621-3392 (7013)
Invested
$26.28
Value
$36
PnL
+$9.72
Record
51%
1998-1928 (3926)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$17.67
Value
$19
PnL
+$1.33
Record
39%
1577-2453 (4030)
Invested
$12.69
Value
$15
PnL
+$2.31
Record
54%
2509-2112 (4621)
Invested
$12.99
Value
$12
PnL
+$3.35
Record
60%
3949-2687 (6636)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$11.01
Value
β
PnL
-$11.01
Record
47%
2247-2492 (4739)
Invested
$4.85
Value
$5.05
PnL
+$0.2
Record
67%
3650-1820 (5470)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$4.5
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.5
Record
51%
2336-2212 (4548)
Invested
$5
Value
β
PnL
-$5
Record
58%
5095-3753 (8848)
Invested
$3.66
Value
β
PnL
-$3.66
Record
38%
719-1166 (1885)
Invested
$3.3
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.7
Record
62%
4286-2574 (6860)
Invested
$1.08
Value
β
PnL
-$1.08
Record
50%
2598-2611 (5209)
Invested
$11.25
Value
β
PnL
-$11.25
Record
47%
2348-2603 (4951)
Invested
$7.36
Value
β
PnL
-$7.36
Record
47%
1582-1804 (3386)
Invested
$3.12
Value
β
PnL
-$3.12
Record
48%
2338-2522 (4860)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$0.54
Value
β
PnL
-$0.54
Record
44%
2246-2882 (5128)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up β $1.4K
ByteBadger92
CTRDown β $0
hoodquant
Up β $259
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up β $37.83
soswald1
Up β $30
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up β $36

OhioRiskManagement
Up β $19
ply-pm2
Up β $15
aaa221
Up β $12

ohioism
CTRDown β $0