Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Resolved Down. 47% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Down 47%
$2.3K
-$564.37
Smart Money Signal
9 of 19 top traders (47%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$1.31 | 61% 533-343 (876) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.8¢ | $657.88 | $666 | +$8.12 | 98% 4086-84 (4170) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $507.1 | — | -$492.3 | 54% 3849-3219 (7068) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 42.4¢ | $83.19 | — | -$43.54 | 51% 2336-2212 (4548) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 86.7¢ | $23.8 | $27.45 | +$3.65 | 48% 2338-2522 (4860) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 86.5¢ | $24.56 | $26.88 | +$2.35 | 67% 3650-1820 (5470) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 81.5¢ | $27.84 | $20 | -$7.84 | 50% 3397-3361 (6758) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 90.5¢ | $18.1 | $20 | +$1.9 | 47% 2348-2603 (4951) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 91.2¢ | $12.27 | $13.45 | +$1.18 | 50% 2598-2611 (5209) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 84.4¢ | $14.9 | $12.64 | +$3.47 | 62% 4286-2574 (6860) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 90.4¢ | $11.39 | $11.43 | +$0.1 | 65% 2580-1409 (3989) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 20¢ | $7.18 | — | -$7.18 | 54% 2509-2112 (4621) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 53.5¢ | $8.56 | — | -$8.56 | 51% 1998-1928 (3926) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Upavg 7¢ | $3 | — | -$3 | 52% 3621-3392 (7013) |
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100 | Upavg 20.8¢ | $4.66 | — | -$4.66 | 38% 719-1166 (1885) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 25¢ | $1.5 | — | -$1.5 | 43% 1879-2519 (4398) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 6.4¢ | $5.7 | — | -$5.7 | 33% 1131-2266 (3397) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $2.23 | — | -$2.23 | 52% 1470-1346 (2816) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 5.4¢ | $9.94 | — | -$9.94 | 39% 1577-2453 (4030) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$1.31
Record
61%
533-343 (876)
Invested
$657.88
Value
$666
PnL
+$8.12
Record
98%
4086-84 (4170)
Invested
$507.1
Value
—
PnL
-$492.3
Record
54%
3849-3219 (7068)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$83.19
Value
—
PnL
-$43.54
Record
51%
2336-2212 (4548)
Invested
$23.8
Value
$27.45
PnL
+$3.65
Record
48%
2338-2522 (4860)
Invested
$24.56
Value
$26.88
PnL
+$2.35
Record
67%
3650-1820 (5470)
Invested
$27.84
Value
$20
PnL
-$7.84
Record
50%
3397-3361 (6758)
Invested
$18.1
Value
$20
PnL
+$1.9
Record
47%
2348-2603 (4951)
Invested
$12.27
Value
$13.45
PnL
+$1.18
Record
50%
2598-2611 (5209)
Invested
$14.9
Value
$12.64
PnL
+$3.47
Record
62%
4286-2574 (6860)
Invested
$11.39
Value
$11.43
PnL
+$0.1
Record
65%
2580-1409 (3989)
Invested
$7.18
Value
—
PnL
-$7.18
Record
54%
2509-2112 (4621)
Invested
$8.56
Value
—
PnL
-$8.56
Record
51%
1998-1928 (3926)
Invested
$3
Value
—
PnL
-$3
Record
52%
3621-3392 (7013)
Invested
$4.66
Value
—
PnL
-$4.66
Record
38%
719-1166 (1885)
Invested
$1.5
Value
—
PnL
-$1.5
Record
43%
1879-2519 (4398)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$5.7
Value
—
PnL
-$5.7
Record
33%
1131-2266 (3397)
Invested
$2.23
Value
—
PnL
-$2.23
Record
52%
1470-1346 (2816)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$9.94
Value
—
PnL
-$9.94
Record
39%
1577-2453 (4030)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Down — $1.5K
hoodquant
Down — $666
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
Polkadot-Frog
CTRUp — $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $27.45
asdaefef
Down — $26.88
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $20
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $20
dvasdkasodk
Down — $13.45
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $12.64