Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Down 80%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.3K

Combined PnL

$-1.5K

Smart Money Signal

Down

16 of 20 top traders (80%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed16 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down16 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,867

Combined PnL$-1.5K

Up4 traders

Total Value$119.19

Total Shares119

Combined PnL+$24.13

Down — 80%Up — 20%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR	Downavg 50¢	$1.5K	—	$-1.3K	61% 526-339 (865)
SO soswald1ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$750	$715	-$18.2	52% 3603-3367 (6970)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$375	—	-$375
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$357.5	$715	+$356.8
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 49.8¢	$528.78	$500	+$0.5	54% 3808-3199 (7007)
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.8¢	$248.76	$500	+$250.9
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$248.66	—	-$250.4
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 87.3¢	$40.77	$39.19	-$1.58	62% 4256-2556 (6812)
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 99¢	$32.67	$33	+$0.33	98% 4049-84 (4133)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Downavg 57.6¢	$25.34	—	-$25.34	51% 1980-1923 (3903)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 40.7¢	$21.85	—	-$21.85	47% 2226-2478 (4704)
PB PBot-5<$100	Upavg 46¢	$16.1	$35	+$18.9	49% 1381-1459 (2840)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 52¢	$34.21	—	-$34.21	54% 2490-2100 (4590)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Downavg 20¢	$27.43	—	-$27.43	50% 3372-3320 (6692)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100	Downavg 53.7¢	$27.74	—	-$27.74	51% 2323-2193 (4516)
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100	Downavg 13.8¢	$7.72	—	-$7.72	47% 1576-1791 (3367)
HC Hcrystallash<$100	Upavg 46¢	$5.52	$12	+$6.48	58% 5086-3744 (8830)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 19.5¢	$3.2	—	-$3.2	39% 1562-2438 (4000)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Downavg 50¢	$3	—	-$3	43% 1865-2503 (4368)
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100	Downavg 28.1¢	$6.74	—	-$6.74	38% 717-1162 (1879)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Downavg 40.5¢	$11.75	—	-$11.75	52% 2831-2570 (5401)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Downavg 6¢	$1.1	—	-$1.1	50% 2579-2590 (5169)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Downavg 27.8¢	$3.89	—	-$3.89	44% 2227-2869 (5096)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 51.2¢	$23.59	—	-$23.59	47% 2327-2591 (4918)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Downavg 45¢	$15.75	—	-$15.75	48% 2317-2509 (4826)
AS asdaefefCTR<$100	Downavg 6.3¢	$1.04	—	-$1.04	67% 3623-1806 (5429)