Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
21
Down 67%
$482.16
$-2.1K
Smart Money Signal
14 of 21 top traders (67%)17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.4K | 61% 526-339 (865) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.1¢ | $513.34 | — | -$507.94 | 54% 3808-3199 (7007) |
 BoneOhio | Upavg 98.9¢ | $198.78 | $200.9 | +$2.12 | 70% 1711-719 (2430) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $213.84 | $216 | +$2.16 | 98% 4049-84 (4133) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 2.7¢ | $3.81 | — | -$3.81 | 39% 1562-2438 (4000) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 63.4¢ | $53 | — | -$53 | 54% 2490-2100 (4590) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 32.1¢ | $37.19 | — | -$35.89 | 50% 3372-3320 (6692) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 55.2¢ | $63.24 | — | -$45.41 | 51% 2323-2193 (4516) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 61¢ | $18.93 | — | -$18.93 | 33% 1127-2251 (3378) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $14.1 | — | -$14.1 | 44% 2227-2869 (5096) |
FL flippingsharks<$100 | Downavg 28.4¢ | $14.83 | — | -$14.83 | 38% 717-1162 (1879) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 86.7¢ | $26.08 | $26.16 | +$1 | 62% 4256-2556 (6812) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Downavg 47.4¢ | $11.66 | — | -$9.91 | 47% 1576-1791 (3367) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $8.91 | $9.09 | +$0.18 | 65% 2569-1402 (3971) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $7.5 | $15 | +$7.5 | 51% 1980-1923 (3903) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 95.7¢ | $13.4 | $14 | +$0.6 | 67% 3623-1806 (5429) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $4.7 | — | -$4.7 | 47% 2327-2591 (4918) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 28.4¢ | $8.04 | — | -$8.04 | 52% 3603-3367 (6970) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $4.04 | — | -$4.04 | 60% 3927-2670 (6597) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $2.6 | — | -$2.6 | 52% 2831-2570 (5401) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 27¢ | $1.62 | $1.01 | +$4.28 | 43% 1865-2503 (4368) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
61%
526-339 (865)
Invested
$513.34
Value
—
PnL
-$507.94
Record
54%
3808-3199 (7007)
BoneOhioInvested
$198.78
Value
$200.9
PnL
+$2.12
Record
70%
1711-719 (2430)
Invested
$213.84
Value
$216
PnL
+$2.16
Record
98%
4049-84 (4133)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$3.81
Value
—
PnL
-$3.81
Record
39%
1562-2438 (4000)
Invested
$53
Value
—
PnL
-$53
Record
54%
2490-2100 (4590)
Invested
$37.19
Value
—
PnL
-$35.89
Record
50%
3372-3320 (6692)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$63.24
Value
—
PnL
-$45.41
Record
51%
2323-2193 (4516)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$18.93
Value
—
PnL
-$18.93
Record
33%
1127-2251 (3378)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$14.1
Value
—
PnL
-$14.1
Record
44%
2227-2869 (5096)
Invested
$14.83
Value
—
PnL
-$14.83
Record
38%
717-1162 (1879)
Invested
$26.08
Value
$26.16
PnL
+$1
Record
62%
4256-2556 (6812)
Invested
$11.66
Value
—
PnL
-$9.91
Record
47%
1576-1791 (3367)
Invested
$8.91
Value
$9.09
PnL
+$0.18
Record
65%
2569-1402 (3971)
Invested
$7.5
Value
$15
PnL
+$7.5
Record
51%
1980-1923 (3903)
Invested
$13.4
Value
$14
PnL
+$0.6
Record
67%
3623-1806 (5429)
Invested
$4.7
Value
—
PnL
-$4.7
Record
47%
2327-2591 (4918)
Invested
$8.04
Value
—
PnL
-$8.04
Record
52%
3603-3367 (6970)
Invested
$4.04
Value
—
PnL
-$4.04
Record
60%
3927-2670 (6597)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$2.6
Value
—
PnL
-$2.6
Record
52%
2831-2570 (5401)
Invested
$1.62
Value
$1.01
PnL
+$4.28
Record
43%
1865-2503 (4368)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Down — $0
ByteBadger92
Down — $0
BoneOhio
Up — $200.9
hoodquant
Up — $216
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $0
ply-pm2
Down — $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $0
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $0
pspspsps5
Down — $0
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $0