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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Won βœ“

Smart money consensus was Up β€” and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Resolved Up. 30% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

πŸ†

Won

Consensus Traders

20

Up 30%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.3K

Combined PnL

-$89.16

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 20 top traders (30%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed14 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders
Total Value$1.8K
Total Shares1,847
Combined PnL+$31.17
Down14 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares489
Combined PnL-$120.33
Up β€” 30%Down β€” 70%
0X
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up

Invested

$1,500

Value

$1.5K

PnL

+$0.39

Record

61%

526-339 (865)

BY
ByteBadger92ARB<$100
Up

Invested

$502.55

Value

$500

PnL

+$0.7

Record

54%

3808-3199 (7007)

Both legs:

Up$25050Β’+$250
Down$247.649.5Β’-$249.3
HO
hoodquant
Up

Invested

$311.85

Value

$315

PnL

+$3.15

Record

98%

4049-84 (4133)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$44.6

Value

β€”

PnL

-$41

Record

50%

3372-3320 (6692)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Up

Invested

$21.29

Value

$16.88

PnL

-$4.41

Record

54%

2490-2100 (4590)

FL
flippingsharksCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$13.31

Value

β€”

PnL

-$13.31

Record

38%

717-1162 (1879)

RA
rabadabadooCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$10.71

Value

β€”

PnL

-$10.71

Record

47%

1576-1791 (3367)

LI
Little-big<$100
Up

Invested

$7.83

Value

$27

PnL

+$19.17

Record

51%

1039-991 (2030)

Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$8.35

Value

β€”

PnL

-$8.35

Record

51%

2323-2193 (4516)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$8.3

Value

β€”

PnL

-$8.3

Record

48%

2317-2509 (4826)

SU
suntori<$100
Up

Invested

$7.85

Value

$18.69

PnL

+$10.84

Record

46%

3003-3542 (6545)

ohioismCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$4.34

Value

β€”

PnL

-$4.34

Record

47%

2226-2478 (4704)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.15

Value

β€”

PnL

-$2.15

Record

52%

2831-2570 (5401)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$3.05

Value

$5.08

PnL

+$2.03

Record

67%

3623-1806 (5429)

SO
soswald1CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.5

Value

β€”

PnL

-$2.5

Record

52%

3603-3367 (6970)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.41

Value

β€”

PnL

-$0.41

Record

60%

3927-2670 (6597)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1

Value

β€”

PnL

-$1

Record

50%

2579-2590 (5169)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.12

Value

β€”

PnL

-$1.12

Record

33%

1127-2251 (3378)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.05

Value

β€”

PnL

-$0.05

Record

36%

1409-2482 (3891)

HC
HcrystallashCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$23.39

Value

β€”

PnL

-$23.39

Record

58%

5086-3744 (8830)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$3.7

Value

β€”

PnL

-$3.7

Record

39%

1562-2438 (4000)