Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 67%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.0K

Combined PnL

-$481.67

Smart Money Signal

Down

12 of 18 top traders (67%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down12 traders

Total Value$1.9K

Total Shares1,875

Combined PnL+$139.27

Up6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares715

Combined PnL-$620.93

Down — 67%Up — 33%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b	Downavg 50¢	$1.5K	$1.4K	+$5.93	61% 518-332 (850)
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Upavg 50¢	$506.66	—	-$484.77	54% 3763-3169 (6932)
HO hoodquant	Downavg 99¢	$164.34	$166	+$1.66	98% 3999-84 (4083)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100	Upavg 44.7¢	$75.69	$96.5	+$20.81	51% 3341-3263 (6604)
└ Down leg	Downavg 36.9¢	$35.58	$96.5	+$60.93
└ Up leg	Upavg 44.7¢	$40.11	—	-$40.11
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Downavg 51.2¢	$60.4	$78	+$17.6	52% 2308-2166 (4474)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 41.2¢	$44.62	$67.46	+$22.84	54% 2461-2088 (4549)
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100	Upavg 36¢	$46.12	—	-$46.12	47% 1558-1782 (3340)
ohioism<$100	Downavg 39¢	$17.55	$45	+$27.45	47% 2198-2452 (4650)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530ARB<$100	Upavg 50.5¢	$39.4	$35	-$4.4	48% 2280-2489 (4769)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50.5¢	$25.55	—	-$25.55
└ Down leg	Downavg 39.6¢	$13.85	$35	+$21.15
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 52.3¢	$40.5	—	-$40.5	44% 2198-2839 (5037)
SO soswald1<$100	Downavg 46.9¢	$14.2	$30.31	+$16.11	52% 3571-3339 (6910)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Downavg 31.9¢	$9.29	$29.13	+$19.84	39% 1545-2411 (3956)
SU suntoriCTR<$100	Upavg 42¢	$15.69	—	-$15.69	46% 2978-3516 (6494)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 61¢	$36.95	—	-$31.45	47% 2305-2557 (4862)
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 60.5¢	$12.96	$21.41	+$8.45	52% 2809-2555 (5364)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 53.9¢	$5.99	$11.1	+$5.11	63% 4221-2527 (6748)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 58.2¢	$5.12	$8.8	+$3.68	67% 3590-1785 (5375)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 58¢	$4.96	$8.55	+$3.59	50% 2549-2566 (5115)
LI Little-bigCTR<$100	Upavg 48¢	$2.4	—	-$2.4	51% 1023-979 (2002)
FL flippingsharks<$100	Downavg 16¢	$1.33	$8.33	+$7	38% 701-1152 (1853)