Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
Back to Markets

Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Resolved Down. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

24

Down 83%

Total Value

$2.4K

Combined PnL

$-1.2K

Smart Money Signal

Down

20 of 24 top traders (83%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,669
Combined PnL$-1.5K
Down20 traders
Total Value$2.4K
Total Shares2,415
Combined PnL+$302.83
Up — 17%Down — 83%
0X
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR
Up

Invested

$1,500

Value

—

PnL

$-1.4K

Record

61%

518-332 (850)

HO
hoodquant
Down

Invested

$1,033.21

Value

$1.1K

PnL

+$17.79

Record

98%

3999-84 (4083)

BY
ByteBadger92
Down

Invested

$532.41

Value

$515.6

PnL

+$6.67

Record

54%

3763-3169 (6932)

PL
ply-pm2
Down

Invested

$132.87

Value

$195

PnL

+$62.13

Record

54%

2461-2088 (4549)

AL
almach
Down

Invested

$100.5

Value

$150

PnL

+$49.5

Record

51%

1504-1428 (2932)

pspspsps5
Down

Invested

$85.33

Value

$133.2

PnL

+$47.87

Record

33%

1116-2237 (3353)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down

Invested

$79.3

Value

$113.99

PnL

+$34.68

Record

51%

1975-1916 (3891)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$86.08

Value

—

PnL

-$86.08

Record

51%

3341-3263 (6604)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Down

Invested

$44.72

Value

$52

PnL

+$7.28

Record

39%

1545-2411 (3956)

SO
soswald1<$100
Down

Invested

$17.59

Value

$31.17

PnL

+$13.58

Record

52%

3571-3339 (6910)

Polkadot-Frog<$100
Down

Invested

$85.75

Value

$30

PnL

+$18.1

Record

52%

2308-2166 (4474)

LI
Little-bigCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$27

Value

—

PnL

-$27

Record

51%

1023-979 (2002)

G-Penis-Monster<$100
Down

Invested

$14.6

Value

$25

PnL

+$10.4

Record

44%

2198-2839 (5037)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100
Down

Invested

$19.66

Value

$20

PnL

+$8.74

Record

47%

2305-2557 (4862)

ohioismCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$30.44

Value

—

PnL

-$30.44

Record

47%

2198-2452 (4650)

0X
0x50f7<$100
Down

Invested

$20.94

Value

$15

PnL

-$5.94

Record

52%

1448-1342 (2790)

MayorMamdani<$100
Down

Invested

$12.63

Value

$15

PnL

+$2.37

Record

52%

2809-2555 (5364)

FL
flippingsharks<$100
Down

Invested

$5.14

Value

$13.05

PnL

+$7.91

Record

38%

701-1152 (1853)

RA
rabadabadoo<$100
Down

Invested

$5.74

Value

$11.42

PnL

+$5.68

Record

47%

1558-1782 (3340)

HC
Hcrystallash<$100
Down

Invested

$5.61

Value

$11

PnL

+$5.39

Record

58%

5072-3729 (8801)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100
Down

Invested

$6.06

Value

$12

PnL

+$5.94

Record

42%

1826-2483 (4309)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$8.44

Value

$10.31

PnL

+$2.66

Record

63%

4221-2527 (6748)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Down

Invested

$4.4

Value

$5.3

PnL

+$0.9

Record

67%

3590-1785 (5375)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100
Down

Invested

$3.82

Value

$5

PnL

+$1.18

Record

48%

2280-2489 (4769)