Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
17
Up 53%
6 arb excluded
$3.1K
$1.27
Smart Money Signal
9 of 17 top traders (53%)6 arbitrage traders dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.3K | +$11.17 | 61% 518-332 (850) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $658.25 | $1.3K | +$668.07 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $635.17 | — | -$656.9 | |
SO soswald1ARB<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $750 | $701 | -$3.85 | 52% 3571-3339 (6910) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $350.5 | $701 | +$353.83 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $349.25 | — | -$357.68 | |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $546.92 | $494.99 | -$13.8 | 54% 3763-3169 (6932) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50.5¢ | $249.88 | $494.99 | +$247.4 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49¢ | $252.35 | — | -$261.2 | |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $113.69 | $114.85 | +$1.16 | 98% 3999-84 (4083) |
 wowitsamazing | Upavg 47.8¢ | $49.89 | $104.27 | +$54.38 | 48% 193-213 (406) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 58.8¢ | $68.68 | $61.48 | -$7.21 | 51% 3341-3263 (6604) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 60.4¢ | $55.6 | $57.49 | +$1.88 | 54% 2461-2088 (4549) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 60.4¢ | $34.71 | $57.49 | +$22.77 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 44.5¢ | $20.89 | — | -$20.89 | |
 ohioismARB<$100 | Upavg 51.4¢ | $47.62 | $56 | +$8.38 | 47% 2198-2452 (4650) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 51.4¢ | $28.79 | $56 | +$27.21 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 43.9¢ | $18.83 | — | -$18.83 | |
RA rabadabadooARB<$100 | Downavg 45.5¢ | $50.31 | $39.4 | -$10.91 | 47% 1558-1782 (3340) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 60.3¢ | $23.76 | $39.4 | +$15.64 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 45.5¢ | $26.55 | — | -$26.55 | |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 33¢ | $76.8 | — | -$20.48 | 52% 2308-2166 (4474) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $16.8 | $35.71 | +$18.91 | 49% 1355-1438 (2793) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 74¢ | $19.43 | $15 | -$4.29 | 67% 3590-1785 (5375) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 85.8¢ | $27.34 | $13.23 | -$4.44 | 63% 4221-2527 (6748) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 60¢ | $12.6 | $21 | +$8.4 | 51% 1975-1916 (3891) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 62.2¢ | $6.84 | $11 | +$4.16 | 44% 2198-2839 (5037) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Upavg 46¢ | $5.52 | $12 | +$6.48 | 51% 1023-979 (2002) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 36.5¢ | $3.65 | — | -$3.65 | 52% 2809-2555 (5364) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 36.3¢ | $4 | — | -$4 | 39% 1545-2411 (3956) |
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100 | Downavg 16¢ | $0.21 | — | -$0.21 | 38% 701-1152 (1853) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 49.3¢ | $24.66 | — | -$24.66 | 70% 1689-707 (2396) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 41.1¢ | $14.4 | — | -$14.4 | 47% 2305-2557 (4862) |
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100 | Downavg 54¢ | $6.48 | — | -$6.48 | 58% 5072-3729 (8801) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 43¢ | $2.4 | — | -$2.4 | 50% 2549-2566 (5115) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$11.17
Record
61%
518-332 (850)
Both legs:
Invested
$750
Value
$701
PnL
-$3.85
Record
52%
3571-3339 (6910)
Both legs:
Invested
$546.92
Value
$494.99
PnL
-$13.8
Record
54%
3763-3169 (6932)
Both legs:
Invested
$113.69
Value
$114.85
PnL
+$1.16
Record
98%
3999-84 (4083)
wowitsamazingInvested
$49.89
Value
$104.27
PnL
+$54.38
Record
48%
193-213 (406)
Invested
$68.68
Value
$61.48
PnL
-$7.21
Record
51%
3341-3263 (6604)
Invested
$55.6
Value
$57.49
PnL
+$1.88
Record
54%
2461-2088 (4549)
Both legs:
ohioismARB<$100Invested
$47.62
Value
$56
PnL
+$8.38
Record
47%
2198-2452 (4650)
Both legs:
Invested
$50.31
Value
$39.4
PnL
-$10.91
Record
47%
1558-1782 (3340)
Both legs:
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$76.8
Value
—
PnL
-$20.48
Record
52%
2308-2166 (4474)
Invested
$16.8
Value
$35.71
PnL
+$18.91
Record
49%
1355-1438 (2793)
Invested
$19.43
Value
$15
PnL
-$4.29
Record
67%
3590-1785 (5375)
Invested
$27.34
Value
$13.23
PnL
-$4.44
Record
63%
4221-2527 (6748)
Invested
$12.6
Value
$21
PnL
+$8.4
Record
51%
1975-1916 (3891)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$6.84
Value
$11
PnL
+$4.16
Record
44%
2198-2839 (5037)
Invested
$5.52
Value
$12
PnL
+$6.48
Record
51%
1023-979 (2002)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$3.65
Value
—
PnL
-$3.65
Record
52%
2809-2555 (5364)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$4
Value
—
PnL
-$4
Record
39%
1545-2411 (3956)
Invested
$0.21
Value
—
PnL
-$0.21
Record
38%
701-1152 (1853)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$24.66
Value
—
PnL
-$24.66
Record
70%
1689-707 (2396)
Invested
$14.4
Value
—
PnL
-$14.4
Record
47%
2305-2557 (4862)
Invested
$6.48
Value
—
PnL
-$6.48
Record
58%
5072-3729 (8801)
Invested
$2.4
Value
—
PnL
-$2.4
Record
50%
2549-2566 (5115)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
ARBArbitrage — excluded
soswald1
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Up — $114.85
wowitsamazing
Up — $104.27
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $61.48
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ohioism
ARBArbitrage — excluded
rabadabadoo
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Polkadot-Frog
CTRDown — $0