Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Resolved Down. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
19
Down 58%
$2.2K
-$53.28
Smart Money Signal
11 of 19 top traders (58%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Downavg 50Β’ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$4.65 | 61% 518-332 (850) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 51Β’ | $515.8 | $500.01 | -$6.33 | 54% 3763-3169 (6932) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 47.5Β’ | $93.26 | $103.72 | +$10.47 | 51% 3341-3263 (6604) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Downavg 64.5Β’ | $36.79 | $40 | +$3.21 | 47% 2198-2452 (4650) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 37.5Β’ | $42.76 | β | -$34.86 | 54% 2461-2088 (4549) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 90.7Β’ | $78.36 | $27.1 | +$0.46 | 63% 4221-2527 (6748) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 65.7Β’ | $18.76 | $20.48 | +$1.72 | 52% 3571-3339 (6910) |
![]() G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 56.3Β’ | $11.25 | $20 | +$8.75 | 44% 2198-2839 (5037) |
![]() Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 24.6Β’ | $13.34 | β | -$8.39 | 52% 2308-2166 (4474) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 97Β’ | $16.16 | $15 | -$1.16 | 67% 3590-1785 (5375) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 55.3Β’ | $8.3 | β | -$8.3 | 52% 2809-2555 (5364) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Upavg 37.7Β’ | $16.99 | β | -$14.25 | 47% 1558-1782 (3340) |
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100 | Upavg 51Β’ | $6.12 | β | -$6.12 | 58% 5072-3729 (8801) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 55Β’ | $2.8 | $5.09 | +$2.29 | 39% 1545-2411 (3956) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 49Β’ | $4.25 | $5 | +$0.75 | 48% 2280-2489 (4769) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $1.67 | $1.69 | +$0.02 | 51% 1975-1916 (3891) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 36Β’ | $1.8 | β | -$1.8 | 47% 2305-2557 (4862) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 24Β’ | $3.15 | β | -$3.15 | 50% 2549-2566 (5115) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 24Β’ | $1.25 | β | -$1.25 | 65% 2545-1392 (3937) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$4.65
Record
61%
518-332 (850)
Invested
$515.8
Value
$500.01
PnL
-$6.33
Record
54%
3763-3169 (6932)
Invested
$93.26
Value
$103.72
PnL
+$10.47
Record
51%
3341-3263 (6604)
ohioism<$100Invested
$36.79
Value
$40
PnL
+$3.21
Record
47%
2198-2452 (4650)
Invested
$42.76
Value
β
PnL
-$34.86
Record
54%
2461-2088 (4549)
Invested
$78.36
Value
$27.1
PnL
+$0.46
Record
63%
4221-2527 (6748)
Invested
$18.76
Value
$20.48
PnL
+$1.72
Record
52%
3571-3339 (6910)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$11.25
Value
$20
PnL
+$8.75
Record
44%
2198-2839 (5037)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$13.34
Value
β
PnL
-$8.39
Record
52%
2308-2166 (4474)
Invested
$16.16
Value
$15
PnL
-$1.16
Record
67%
3590-1785 (5375)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$8.3
Value
β
PnL
-$8.3
Record
52%
2809-2555 (5364)
Invested
$16.99
Value
β
PnL
-$14.25
Record
47%
1558-1782 (3340)
Invested
$6.12
Value
β
PnL
-$6.12
Record
58%
5072-3729 (8801)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$2.8
Value
$5.09
PnL
+$2.29
Record
39%
1545-2411 (3956)
Invested
$4.25
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.75
Record
48%
2280-2489 (4769)
Invested
$1.67
Value
$1.69
PnL
+$0.02
Record
51%
1975-1916 (3891)
Invested
$1.8
Value
β
PnL
-$1.8
Record
47%
2305-2557 (4862)
Invested
$3.15
Value
β
PnL
-$3.15
Record
50%
2549-2566 (5115)
Invested
$1.25
Value
β
PnL
-$1.25
Record
65%
2545-1392 (3937)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Down β $1.5K
ByteBadger92
Down β $500.01
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down β $103.72

ohioism
Down β $40
ply-pm2
CTRUp β $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Down β $27.1
soswald1
Down β $20.48

G-Penis-Monster
Down β $20

Polkadot-Frog
CTRUp β $0
asdaefef
Down β $15