Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 82% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
22
Up 82%
1 arb excluded
$4.0K
$196.76
Smart Money Signal
18 of 22 top traders (82%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.2K | +$18.48 | 61% 518-332 (850) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 53.1¢ | $993.45 | $922.94 | +$216.75 | 49% 2396-2460 (4856) |
SO soswald1ARB<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $750 | $629.7 | -$38.09 | 52% 3571-3339 (6910) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $314.85 | $629.7 | +$319.69 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $338 | — | -$357.78 | |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50.8¢ | $518.38 | $500 | +$1.51 | 54% 3763-3169 (6932) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $227 | $229.29 | +$2.29 | 98% 3999-84 (4083) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 84.7¢ | $110.74 | $84.45 | -$26.29 | 51% 3341-3263 (6604) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 83.8¢ | $122.78 | $87.22 | -$35.56 | 52% 2308-2166 (4474) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 61.9¢ | $61.72 | $65 | +$3.28 | 54% 2461-2088 (4549) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 86.5¢ | $48.91 | $44.06 | -$3.35 | 47% 2198-2452 (4650) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 86.3¢ | $40.05 | $45 | +$4.95 | 47% 2305-2557 (4862) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 84.3¢ | $72.45 | $53.04 | -$0.41 | 60% 3891-2648 (6539) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Upavg 48¢ | $16.8 | $35 | +$18.2 | 49% 1355-1438 (2793) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 64.8¢ | $22.02 | $34 | +$11.98 | 48% 2280-2489 (4769) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 67.8¢ | $24.14 | $35.62 | +$11.48 | 70% 1689-707 (2396) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 70.9¢ | $22.46 | $21 | -$1.46 | 52% 2809-2555 (5364) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 52.5¢ | $14 | — | -$14 | 39% 1545-2411 (3956) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 83.8¢ | $16.8 | $17.25 | +$0.45 | 67% 3590-1785 (5375) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 61¢ | $9.15 | $9.04 | -$0.11 | 44% 2198-2839 (5037) |
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $6.13 | — | -$6.13 | 38% 701-1152 (1853) |
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $5.72 | — | -$5.72 | 58% 5072-3729 (8801) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 48.6¢ | $12.42 | $10.07 | +$2.16 | 63% 4221-2527 (6748) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 61¢ | $5.72 | $5.33 | -$0.39 | 47% 1558-1782 (3340) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 27¢ | $1.35 | — | -$1.35 | 50% 2549-2566 (5115) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$18.48
Record
61%
518-332 (850)
Invested
$993.45
Value
$922.94
PnL
+$216.75
Record
49%
2396-2460 (4856)
Invested
$750
Value
$629.7
PnL
-$38.09
Record
52%
3571-3339 (6910)
Both legs:
Invested
$518.38
Value
$500
PnL
+$1.51
Record
54%
3763-3169 (6932)
Invested
$227
Value
$229.29
PnL
+$2.29
Record
98%
3999-84 (4083)
Invested
$110.74
Value
$84.45
PnL
-$26.29
Record
51%
3341-3263 (6604)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$122.78
Value
$87.22
PnL
-$35.56
Record
52%
2308-2166 (4474)
Invested
$61.72
Value
$65
PnL
+$3.28
Record
54%
2461-2088 (4549)
ohioism<$100Invested
$48.91
Value
$44.06
PnL
-$3.35
Record
47%
2198-2452 (4650)
Invested
$40.05
Value
$45
PnL
+$4.95
Record
47%
2305-2557 (4862)
Invested
$72.45
Value
$53.04
PnL
-$0.41
Record
60%
3891-2648 (6539)
Invested
$16.8
Value
$35
PnL
+$18.2
Record
49%
1355-1438 (2793)
Invested
$22.02
Value
$34
PnL
+$11.98
Record
48%
2280-2489 (4769)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$24.14
Value
$35.62
PnL
+$11.48
Record
70%
1689-707 (2396)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$22.46
Value
$21
PnL
-$1.46
Record
52%
2809-2555 (5364)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$14
Value
—
PnL
-$14
Record
39%
1545-2411 (3956)
Invested
$16.8
Value
$17.25
PnL
+$0.45
Record
67%
3590-1785 (5375)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$9.15
Value
$9.04
PnL
-$0.11
Record
44%
2198-2839 (5037)
Invested
$6.13
Value
—
PnL
-$6.13
Record
38%
701-1152 (1853)
Invested
$5.72
Value
—
PnL
-$5.72
Record
58%
5072-3729 (8801)
Invested
$12.42
Value
$10.07
PnL
+$2.16
Record
63%
4221-2527 (6748)
Invested
$5.72
Value
$5.33
PnL
-$0.39
Record
47%
1558-1782 (3340)
Invested
$1.35
Value
—
PnL
-$1.35
Record
50%
2549-2566 (5115)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up — $1.2K
uninformedfloww
Up — $922.94
soswald1
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ByteBadger92
Up — $500
hoodquant
Up — $229.29
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $84.45
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $87.22
ply-pm2
Up — $65
ohioism
Up — $44.06
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up — $45