Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Resolved Up. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
20
Up 70%
1 arb excluded
$1.9K
$-1.3K
Smart Money Signal
14 of 20 top traders (70%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.4K | 61% 512-328 (840) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 59¢ | $544.29 | $585.58 | +$119.29 | 49% 2374-2443 (4817) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50.4¢ | $506.8 | $500.01 | +$4.9 | 54% 3731-3151 (6882) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50.4¢ | $251.77 | $500.01 | +$252.3 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $247.5 | — | -$247.4 | |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.6¢ | $443.68 | $450 | +$6.32 | 98% 3966-84 (4050) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 76.1¢ | $76.02 | $61 | -$15.02 | 51% 3321-3240 (6561) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 79.6¢ | $37.82 | $47.5 | +$9.69 | 48% 2261-2474 (4735) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 62.1¢ | $27.97 | $35 | +$7.03 | 54% 2440-2083 (4523) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 72.9¢ | $30.53 | $37.05 | +$7.27 | 59% 3865-2632 (6497) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 77.9¢ | $113.18 | $30.01 | -$10.15 | 52% 2296-2150 (4446) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Upavg 59¢ | $29.5 | $50 | +$20.5 | 51% 1013-972 (1985) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 35.3¢ | $37.15 | — | -$37.15 | 47% 2185-2435 (4620) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 91.3¢ | $22.8 | $23 | +$1.4 | 44% 2183-2822 (5005) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Upavg 48¢ | $17.15 | $35.73 | +$18.58 | 48% 1343-1431 (2774) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 92.4¢ | $18.66 | $19.07 | +$0.41 | 67% 3569-1770 (5339) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Upavg 47.7¢ | $15.73 | $33 | +$17.27 | 58% 5063-3721 (8784) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $14.7 | $10 | +$2.2 | 63% 4195-2511 (6706) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 57¢ | $5.7 | $10 | +$4.3 | 52% 2790-2541 (5331) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 11¢ | $0.45 | — | -$0.45 | 47% 2283-2545 (4828) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.2 | — | -$0.2 | 33% 1106-2226 (3332) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 5.5¢ | $7.02 | — | -$7.02 | 39% 1532-2394 (3926) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Downavg 23¢ | $10.23 | — | -$10.23 | 52% 3555-3314 (6869) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
61%
512-328 (840)
Invested
$544.29
Value
$585.58
PnL
+$119.29
Record
49%
2374-2443 (4817)
Invested
$506.8
Value
$500.01
PnL
+$4.9
Record
54%
3731-3151 (6882)
Both legs:
Invested
$443.68
Value
$450
PnL
+$6.32
Record
98%
3966-84 (4050)
Invested
$76.02
Value
$61
PnL
-$15.02
Record
51%
3321-3240 (6561)
Invested
$37.82
Value
$47.5
PnL
+$9.69
Record
48%
2261-2474 (4735)
Invested
$27.97
Value
$35
PnL
+$7.03
Record
54%
2440-2083 (4523)
Invested
$30.53
Value
$37.05
PnL
+$7.27
Record
59%
3865-2632 (6497)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$113.18
Value
$30.01
PnL
-$10.15
Record
52%
2296-2150 (4446)
Invested
$29.5
Value
$50
PnL
+$20.5
Record
51%
1013-972 (1985)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$37.15
Value
—
PnL
-$37.15
Record
47%
2185-2435 (4620)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$22.8
Value
$23
PnL
+$1.4
Record
44%
2183-2822 (5005)
Invested
$17.15
Value
$35.73
PnL
+$18.58
Record
48%
1343-1431 (2774)
Invested
$18.66
Value
$19.07
PnL
+$0.41
Record
67%
3569-1770 (5339)
Invested
$15.73
Value
$33
PnL
+$17.27
Record
58%
5063-3721 (8784)
Invested
$14.7
Value
$10
PnL
+$2.2
Record
63%
4195-2511 (6706)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$5.7
Value
$10
PnL
+$4.3
Record
52%
2790-2541 (5331)
Invested
$0.45
Value
—
PnL
-$0.45
Record
47%
2283-2545 (4828)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.2
Value
—
PnL
-$0.2
Record
33%
1106-2226 (3332)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$7.02
Value
—
PnL
-$7.02
Record
39%
1532-2394 (3926)
Invested
$10.23
Value
—
PnL
-$10.23
Record
52%
3555-3314 (6869)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRDown — $0
uninformedfloww
Up — $585.58
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Up — $450
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $61
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up — $47.5
ply-pm2
Up — $35
aaa221
Up — $37.05
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $30.01
Little-big
Up — $50