Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
Resolved Up. 61% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
23
Up 61%
2 arb excluded
$3.6K
-$525.17
Smart Money Signal
14 of 23 top traders (61%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.3K | -$7.79 | 61% 512-328 (840) |
SO soswald1CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $751.65 | — | -$637.92 | 52% 3555-3314 (6869) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50.3¢ | $511.33 | $498 | -$1.46 | 54% 3731-3151 (6882) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50.3¢ | $251.72 | — | -$251.32 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.9¢ | $248.61 | $498 | +$249.86 | |
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100 | Upavg 45¢ | $398.7 | $633.73 | +$235.04 | 49% 2374-2443 (4817) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 31.4¢ | $113.39 | — | -$113.39 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 45¢ | $285.31 | $633.73 | +$348.43 | |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.5¢ | $437.77 | $444.4 | +$6.63 | 98% 3966-84 (4050) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 38.7¢ | $94.07 | $136.91 | +$42.84 | 51% 3321-3240 (6561) |
LI Little-big | Upavg 54.1¢ | $110.63 | $204.61 | +$93.98 | 51% 1013-972 (1985) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 48.7¢ | $58.17 | $83.64 | +$26.44 | 44% 2183-2822 (5005) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 41.7¢ | $54.22 | — | -$49.78 | 52% 2296-2150 (4446) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 56.9¢ | $59.26 | $67.57 | +$8.32 | 54% 2440-2083 (4523) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 74¢ | $42.8 | $57.81 | +$15.01 | 59% 3865-2632 (6497) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 46.7¢ | $42.51 | $54.14 | +$11.63 | 47% 1551-1772 (3323) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 60.8¢ | $30.63 | $39 | +$8.37 | 47% 2283-2545 (4828) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 52.4¢ | $33.02 | $39 | +$5.98 | 48% 2261-2474 (4735) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 52.2¢ | $18.76 | — | -$18.76 | 39% 1532-2394 (3926) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Upavg 89.5¢ | $18.5 | $20.68 | +$2.18 | 50% 1618-1648 (3266) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 59.3¢ | $17.18 | $16 | -$1.18 | 47% 2185-2435 (4620) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 55.7¢ | $9.15 | $11.66 | +$2.51 | 52% 2790-2541 (5331) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 28.5¢ | $1.8 | $6.32 | +$4.52 | 65% 2523-1384 (3907) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 1.2¢ | $2.75 | — | -$1.57 | 63% 4195-2511 (6706) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Downavg 1.9¢ | $3.72 | — | -$3.72 | 46% 2939-3486 (6425) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 4¢ | $5.49 | — | -$5.49 | 50% 2527-2554 (5081) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 9¢ | $7.39 | — | -$7.39 | 67% 3569-1770 (5339) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 42¢ | $14.7 | — | -$14.7 | 48% 1343-1431 (2774) |
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100 | Downavg 44¢ | $5.28 | — | -$5.28 | 58% 5063-3721 (8784) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.3K
PnL
-$7.79
Record
61%
512-328 (840)
Invested
$751.65
Value
—
PnL
-$637.92
Record
52%
3555-3314 (6869)
Invested
$511.33
Value
$498
PnL
-$1.46
Record
54%
3731-3151 (6882)
Both legs:
Invested
$398.7
Value
$633.73
PnL
+$235.04
Record
49%
2374-2443 (4817)
Both legs:
Invested
$437.77
Value
$444.4
PnL
+$6.63
Record
98%
3966-84 (4050)
Invested
$94.07
Value
$136.91
PnL
+$42.84
Record
51%
3321-3240 (6561)
Invested
$110.63
Value
$204.61
PnL
+$93.98
Record
51%
1013-972 (1985)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$58.17
Value
$83.64
PnL
+$26.44
Record
44%
2183-2822 (5005)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$54.22
Value
—
PnL
-$49.78
Record
52%
2296-2150 (4446)
Invested
$59.26
Value
$67.57
PnL
+$8.32
Record
54%
2440-2083 (4523)
Invested
$42.8
Value
$57.81
PnL
+$15.01
Record
59%
3865-2632 (6497)
Invested
$42.51
Value
$54.14
PnL
+$11.63
Record
47%
1551-1772 (3323)
Invested
$30.63
Value
$39
PnL
+$8.37
Record
47%
2283-2545 (4828)
Invested
$33.02
Value
$39
PnL
+$5.98
Record
48%
2261-2474 (4735)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$18.76
Value
—
PnL
-$18.76
Record
39%
1532-2394 (3926)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$18.5
Value
$20.68
PnL
+$2.18
Record
50%
1618-1648 (3266)
ohioism<$100Invested
$17.18
Value
$16
PnL
-$1.18
Record
47%
2185-2435 (4620)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$9.15
Value
$11.66
PnL
+$2.51
Record
52%
2790-2541 (5331)
Invested
$1.8
Value
$6.32
PnL
+$4.52
Record
65%
2523-1384 (3907)
Invested
$2.75
Value
—
PnL
-$1.57
Record
63%
4195-2511 (6706)
Invested
$3.72
Value
—
PnL
-$3.72
Record
46%
2939-3486 (6425)
Invested
$5.49
Value
—
PnL
-$5.49
Record
50%
2527-2554 (5081)
Invested
$7.39
Value
—
PnL
-$7.39
Record
67%
3569-1770 (5339)
Invested
$14.7
Value
—
PnL
-$14.7
Record
48%
1343-1431 (2774)
Invested
$5.28
Value
—
PnL
-$5.28
Record
58%
5063-3721 (8784)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up — $1.3K
soswald1
CTRDown — $0
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
uninformedfloww
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Up — $444.4
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $136.91
Little-big
Up — $204.61
G-Penis-Monster
Up — $83.64
Polkadot-Frog
CTRDown — $0
ply-pm2
Up — $67.57