Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 52% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
21
Up 55%
$2.2K
-$992.15
Smart Money Signal
11 of 21 top traders (52%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50Β’ | $1.5K | $1.3K | +$5.48 | 61% 512-328 (840) |
SO soswald1CTR | Downavg 50Β’ | $750 | β | -$686.89 | 52% 3555-3314 (6869) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 49.7Β’ | $507.37 | $500 | +$6.6 | 54% 3731-3151 (6882) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 23.3Β’ | $420.9 | β | -$293.2 | 49% 2374-2443 (4817) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.9Β’ | $156.98 | $158.7 | +$1.72 | 98% 3966-84 (4050) |
BO bosona<$100 | Upavg 75Β’ | $62.04 | $82.72 | +$20.68 | 51% 4740-4541 (9281) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 78Β’ | $87.55 | $57.62 | -$12.72 | 52% 2296-2150 (4446) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 61.8Β’ | $25.88 | $32.65 | +$6.77 | 54% 2440-2083 (4523) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 94Β’ | $32.7 | $23 | -$9.7 | 39% 1532-2394 (3926) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Upavg 41.4Β’ | $20.65 | $49.83 | +$29.18 | 48% 1343-1431 (2774) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 67Β’ | $13.35 | $15.44 | +$2.09 | 67% 3569-1770 (5339) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 19Β’ | $32.32 | β | -$32.32 | 51% 3321-3240 (6561) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 39Β’ | $11.91 | β | -$11.91 | 47% 2283-2545 (4828) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 70Β’ | $10.5 | $15 | +$4.5 | 52% 2790-2541 (5331) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 49Β’ | $7.35 | β | -$7.35 | 48% 2261-2474 (4735) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 23.1Β’ | $26.08 | β | -$4.1 | 63% 4195-2511 (6706) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 61Β’ | $3.05 | $5 | +$1.95 | 47% 1551-1772 (3323) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 49Β’ | $2.45 | β | -$2.45 | 47% 2185-2435 (4620) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 10Β’ | $1.44 | β | -$1.44 | 33% 1106-2226 (3332) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 63Β’ | $6.3 | β | -$6.3 | 51% 1013-972 (1985) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 65Β’ | $7.11 | β | -$2.73 | 59% 3865-2632 (6497) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$5.48
Record
61%
512-328 (840)
Invested
$750
Value
β
PnL
-$686.89
Record
52%
3555-3314 (6869)
Invested
$507.37
Value
$500
PnL
+$6.6
Record
54%
3731-3151 (6882)
Invested
$420.9
Value
β
PnL
-$293.2
Record
49%
2374-2443 (4817)
Invested
$156.98
Value
$158.7
PnL
+$1.72
Record
98%
3966-84 (4050)
Invested
$62.04
Value
$82.72
PnL
+$20.68
Record
51%
4740-4541 (9281)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$87.55
Value
$57.62
PnL
-$12.72
Record
52%
2296-2150 (4446)
Invested
$25.88
Value
$32.65
PnL
+$6.77
Record
54%
2440-2083 (4523)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$32.7
Value
$23
PnL
-$9.7
Record
39%
1532-2394 (3926)
Invested
$20.65
Value
$49.83
PnL
+$29.18
Record
48%
1343-1431 (2774)
Invested
$13.35
Value
$15.44
PnL
+$2.09
Record
67%
3569-1770 (5339)
Invested
$32.32
Value
β
PnL
-$32.32
Record
51%
3321-3240 (6561)
Invested
$11.91
Value
β
PnL
-$11.91
Record
47%
2283-2545 (4828)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$10.5
Value
$15
PnL
+$4.5
Record
52%
2790-2541 (5331)
Invested
$7.35
Value
β
PnL
-$7.35
Record
48%
2261-2474 (4735)
Invested
$26.08
Value
β
PnL
-$4.1
Record
63%
4195-2511 (6706)
Invested
$3.05
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.95
Record
47%
1551-1772 (3323)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$2.45
Value
β
PnL
-$2.45
Record
47%
2185-2435 (4620)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.44
Value
β
PnL
-$1.44
Record
33%
1106-2226 (3332)
Invested
$6.3
Value
β
PnL
-$6.3
Record
51%
1013-972 (1985)
Invested
$7.11
Value
β
PnL
-$2.73
Record
59%
3865-2632 (6497)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up β $1.3K
soswald1
CTRDown β $0
ByteBadger92
Up β $500
uninformedfloww
CTRDown β $0
hoodquant
Up β $158.7
bosona
Up β $82.72

Polkadot-Frog
Up β $57.62
ply-pm2
Up β $32.65

OhioRiskManagement
Up β $23
PBot-5
Up β $49.83