Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
27
Up 58%
2 arb excluded
$3.6K
-$215.91
Smart Money Signal
15 of 27 top traders (56%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed12 hold an outcome priced under 50%22 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.3K | +$3.33 | 61% 512-328 (840) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $659.72 | $1.3K | +$660.13 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $660.35 | — | -$656.81 | |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 46¢ | $508.35 | $1.1K | +$597.86 | 49% 2374-2443 (4817) |
SO soswald1CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $750 | — | -$707.82 | 52% 3555-3314 (6869) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.5¢ | $502.49 | $500 | -$1.5 | 54% 3731-3151 (6882) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $250 | $500 | +$250 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.5¢ | $251.5 | — | -$251.5 | |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $264.33 | $267 | +$2.67 | 98% 3966-84 (4050) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710 | Upavg 98.5¢ | $123.86 | $125.72 | +$1.86 | 42% 1805-2456 (4261) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 66.5¢ | $124.34 | $99.22 | -$25.13 | 51% 3321-3240 (6561) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Upavg 57.4¢ | $51.7 | $90 | +$38.3 | 51% 1013-972 (1985) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 56.1¢ | $38.99 | — | -$38.99 | 48% 2261-2474 (4735) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Upavg 46.2¢ | $24.36 | $52.67 | +$28.31 | 48% 1343-1431 (2774) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 42.8¢ | $24 | — | -$24 | 54% 2440-2083 (4523) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 91.3¢ | $15.15 | $15.28 | +$0.13 | 50% 2527-2554 (5081) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 45.6¢ | $14.6 | — | -$14.6 | 47% 2283-2545 (4828) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 97¢ | $9.7 | $10 | +$0.3 | 67% 3569-1770 (5339) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 61¢ | $10.94 | $9 | -$1.93 | 47% 2185-2435 (4620) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 84.7¢ | $23.34 | $9.27 | +$1.3 | 63% 4195-2511 (6706) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 56¢ | $7.28 | — | -$7.28 | 44% 2183-2822 (5005) |
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100 | Downavg 55¢ | $6.91 | — | -$6.91 | 38% 696-1135 (1831) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $5.94 | $6.06 | +$0.12 | 65% 2523-1384 (3907) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 87¢ | $7.25 | $5 | -$2.25 | 52% 2790-2541 (5331) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 53¢ | $5.3 | — | -$5.3 | 50% 852-864 (1716) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 36¢ | $4.32 | $12 | +$7.68 | 70% 1672-705 (2377) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 50.1¢ | $3.22 | $6.43 | +$3.21 | 47% 1551-1772 (3323) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $0.51 | $1 | +$0.49 | 59% 3865-2632 (6497) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 36.5¢ | $34.66 | — | -$34.66 | 52% 2296-2150 (4446) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$3.33
Record
61%
512-328 (840)
Both legs:
Invested
$508.35
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$597.86
Record
49%
2374-2443 (4817)
Invested
$750
Value
—
PnL
-$707.82
Record
52%
3555-3314 (6869)
Invested
$502.49
Value
$500
PnL
-$1.5
Record
54%
3731-3151 (6882)
Both legs:
Invested
$264.33
Value
$267
PnL
+$2.67
Record
98%
3966-84 (4050)
Invested
$123.86
Value
$125.72
PnL
+$1.86
Record
42%
1805-2456 (4261)
Invested
$124.34
Value
$99.22
PnL
-$25.13
Record
51%
3321-3240 (6561)
Invested
$51.7
Value
$90
PnL
+$38.3
Record
51%
1013-972 (1985)
Invested
$38.99
Value
—
PnL
-$38.99
Record
48%
2261-2474 (4735)
Invested
$24.36
Value
$52.67
PnL
+$28.31
Record
48%
1343-1431 (2774)
Invested
$24
Value
—
PnL
-$24
Record
54%
2440-2083 (4523)
Invested
$15.15
Value
$15.28
PnL
+$0.13
Record
50%
2527-2554 (5081)
Invested
$14.6
Value
—
PnL
-$14.6
Record
47%
2283-2545 (4828)
Invested
$9.7
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.3
Record
67%
3569-1770 (5339)
ohioism<$100Invested
$10.94
Value
$9
PnL
-$1.93
Record
47%
2185-2435 (4620)
Invested
$23.34
Value
$9.27
PnL
+$1.3
Record
63%
4195-2511 (6706)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$7.28
Value
—
PnL
-$7.28
Record
44%
2183-2822 (5005)
Invested
$6.91
Value
—
PnL
-$6.91
Record
38%
696-1135 (1831)
Invested
$5.94
Value
$6.06
PnL
+$0.12
Record
65%
2523-1384 (3907)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$7.25
Value
$5
PnL
-$2.25
Record
52%
2790-2541 (5331)
Invested
$5.3
Value
—
PnL
-$5.3
Record
50%
852-864 (1716)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$4.32
Value
$12
PnL
+$7.68
Record
70%
1672-705 (2377)
Invested
$3.22
Value
$6.43
PnL
+$3.21
Record
47%
1551-1772 (3323)
Invested
$0.51
Value
$1
PnL
+$0.49
Record
59%
3865-2632 (6497)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$34.66
Value
—
PnL
-$34.66
Record
52%
2296-2150 (4446)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
ARBArbitrage — excluded
uninformedfloww
Up — $1.1K
soswald1
CTRDown — $0
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Up — $267
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up — $125.72
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $99.22
Little-big
Up — $90
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRDown — $0
PBot-5
Up — $52.67