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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Resolved Up. 81% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

21

Up 85%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.7K

Combined PnL

$-1.3K

Smart Money Signal

Up

17 of 21 top traders (81%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,652

Combined PnL$-1.5K

Up17 traders

Total Value$2.2K

Total Shares2,155

Combined PnL+$168.9

Down — 19%Up — 81%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR	Downavg 50¢	$1.5K	—	$-1.4K	61% 512-328 (840)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710	Upavg 90.8¢	$992.82	$1.1K	+$101.1	42% 1805-2456 (4261)
SO soswald1	Upavg 50¢	$750	$750	+$7.15	52% 3555-3314 (6869)
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$500	$500	+$4.1	54% 3731-3151 (6882)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$250	$500	+$250
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$245	—	-$245.9
0X 0x50f7<$100	Upavg 99.1¢	$63.42	$64	+$0.58	52% 1439-1341 (2780)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 73¢	$30.52	$41.8	+$11.28	48% 2261-2474 (4735)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Upavg 80.4¢	$20.1	$25	+$4.9	49% 2374-2443 (4817)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 81¢	$19.74	$15.81	-$3.93	59% 3865-2632 (6497)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Upavg 80¢	$36.73	$19.11	-$0.43	51% 3321-3240 (6561)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 68.1¢	$12.88	$18.91	+$6.03	47% 2283-2545 (4828)
PB PBot-5<$100	Upavg 45¢	$16.1	$35.78	+$19.68	48% 1343-1431 (2774)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100	Downavg 17.4¢	$32.03	—	-$23.23	52% 2296-2150 (4446)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 56¢	$10.67	$15	+$4.33	54% 2440-2083 (4523)
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 99¢	$11.88	$12	+$0.12	98% 3966-84 (4050)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 70.8¢	$8.44	$10.46	+$2.02	67% 3569-1770 (5339)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 62.9¢	$12.58	$20	+$7.42	44% 2183-2822 (5005)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 78.7¢	$9.82	$12.48	+$2.66	47% 2185-2435 (4620)
MayorMamdani<$100	Upavg 80¢	$5.09	$5	-$0.09	52% 2790-2541 (5331)
FL flippingsharks<$100	Upavg 49.9¢	$4.86	$9.74	+$4.88	38% 696-1135 (1831)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 78¢	$4.3	$5.51	+$1.21	65% 2523-1384 (3907)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100	Downavg 43.9¢	$49.96	—	-$49.96	47% 191-212 (403)
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100	Downavg 21¢	$2.1	—	-$1.41	63% 4195-2511 (6706)

0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR

Invested

$1,500

Value

—

PnL

$-1.4K

Record

61%

512-328 (840)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Invested

$992.82

Value

$1.1K

PnL

+$101.1

Record

42%

1805-2456 (4261)

Invested

$750

Value

$750

PnL

+$7.15

Record

52%

3555-3314 (6869)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$500

Value

$500

PnL

+$4.1

Record

54%

3731-3151 (6882)

Both legs:

Up$25050¢+$250

Down$24550¢-$245.9

Invested

$63.42

Value

$64

PnL

+$0.58

Record

52%

1439-1341 (2780)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$30.52

Value

$41.8

PnL

+$11.28

Record

48%

2261-2474 (4735)

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

$20.1

Value

$25

PnL

+$4.9

Record

49%

2374-2443 (4817)

Invested

$19.74

Value

$15.81

PnL

-$3.93

Record

59%

3865-2632 (6497)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$36.73

Value

$19.11

PnL

-$0.43

Record

51%

3321-3240 (6561)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$12.88

Value

$18.91

PnL

+$6.03

Record

47%

2283-2545 (4828)

Invested

$16.1

Value

$35.78

PnL

+$19.68

Record

48%

1343-1431 (2774)

Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100

Invested

$32.03

Value

—

PnL

-$23.23

Record

52%

2296-2150 (4446)

Invested

$10.67

Value

$15

PnL

+$4.33

Record

54%

2440-2083 (4523)

Invested

$11.88

Value

$12

PnL

+$0.12

Record

98%

3966-84 (4050)

Invested

$8.44

Value

$10.46

PnL

+$2.02

Record

67%

3569-1770 (5339)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$12.58

Value

$20

PnL

+$7.42

Record

44%

2183-2822 (5005)

Invested

$9.82

Value

$12.48

PnL

+$2.66

Record

47%

2185-2435 (4620)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$5.09

Value

$5

PnL

-$0.09

Record

52%

2790-2541 (5331)

flippingsharks<$100

Invested

$4.86

Value

$9.74

PnL

+$4.88

Record

38%

696-1135 (1831)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$4.3

Value

$5.51

PnL

+$1.21

Record

65%

2523-1384 (3907)

wowitsamazingCTR<$100

Invested

$49.96

Value

—

PnL

-$49.96

Record

47%

191-212 (403)

drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100

Invested

$2.1

Value

—

PnL

-$1.41

Record

63%

4195-2511 (6706)

Smart Money Signal

Up

17 of 21 top traders (81%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x343993b7...83f72d

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1794708300

Traders in this Market

0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b

Down — $0

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $1.1K

soswald1

Up — $750

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

0x50f7

Up — $64

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $41.8

uninformedfloww

Up — $25

aaa221

Up — $15.81

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $19.11

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $18.91

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