Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
20
Up 80%
2 arb excluded
$3.2K
-$475.92
Smart Money Signal
16 of 20 top traders (80%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.4K | -$7.42 | 61% 512-328 (840) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $687.96 | $1.4K | +$697.75 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $697.5 | — | -$705.17 | |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 67¢ | $570.82 | $754.67 | +$206.91 | 49% 2374-2443 (4817) |
SO soswald1CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $750 | — | -$707.37 | 52% 3555-3314 (6869) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 49.7¢ | $506.59 | $502.31 | +$8.68 | 54% 3731-3151 (6882) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.7¢ | $249.54 | $502.31 | +$254.77 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.5¢ | $247.13 | — | -$246.09 | |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.8¢ | $237.76 | $240.74 | +$2.98 | 98% 3966-84 (4050) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 30.2¢ | $32.34 | $51.23 | +$23.05 | 52% 2296-2150 (4446) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 48.4¢ | $39.32 | $42.92 | +$3.6 | 51% 3321-3240 (6561) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 81.2¢ | $22.48 | $22.35 | -$0.13 | 67% 3569-1770 (5339) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Upavg 45.6¢ | $19.59 | $43 | +$23.41 | 48% 1343-1431 (2774) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 53.9¢ | $32.88 | $22.21 | +$12.11 | 54% 2440-2083 (4523) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $15.68 | — | -$15.68 | 51% 1013-972 (1985) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 97¢ | $13.41 | $13 | -$0.41 | 50% 2527-2554 (5081) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 75.1¢ | $19.2 | $11.37 | +$6.19 | 63% 4195-2511 (6706) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 64.4¢ | $10.3 | $16 | +$5.7 | 47% 2283-2545 (4828) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 51.4¢ | $17.47 | $34 | +$16.53 | 47% 2185-2435 (4620) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 44.9¢ | $8.62 | $13 | +$4.38 | 48% 2261-2474 (4735) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 57¢ | $6.38 | $11.18 | +$4.8 | 47% 1551-1772 (3323) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 81¢ | $7.95 | $5 | -$2.95 | 52% 2790-2541 (5331) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 70.2¢ | $4.21 | $6 | +$1.79 | 42% 1805-2456 (4261) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 57¢ | $2.85 | $5 | +$2.15 | 44% 2183-2822 (5005) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 31.3¢ | $13.34 | — | -$13.34 | 39% 1532-2394 (3926) |
 wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Downavg 48.1¢ | $49.65 | — | -$49.65 | 47% 191-212 (403) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
-$7.42
Record
61%
512-328 (840)
Both legs:
Invested
$570.82
Value
$754.67
PnL
+$206.91
Record
49%
2374-2443 (4817)
Invested
$750
Value
—
PnL
-$707.37
Record
52%
3555-3314 (6869)
Invested
$506.59
Value
$502.31
PnL
+$8.68
Record
54%
3731-3151 (6882)
Both legs:
Invested
$237.76
Value
$240.74
PnL
+$2.98
Record
98%
3966-84 (4050)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$32.34
Value
$51.23
PnL
+$23.05
Record
52%
2296-2150 (4446)
Invested
$39.32
Value
$42.92
PnL
+$3.6
Record
51%
3321-3240 (6561)
Invested
$22.48
Value
$22.35
PnL
-$0.13
Record
67%
3569-1770 (5339)
Invested
$19.59
Value
$43
PnL
+$23.41
Record
48%
1343-1431 (2774)
Invested
$32.88
Value
$22.21
PnL
+$12.11
Record
54%
2440-2083 (4523)
Invested
$15.68
Value
—
PnL
-$15.68
Record
51%
1013-972 (1985)
Invested
$13.41
Value
$13
PnL
-$0.41
Record
50%
2527-2554 (5081)
Invested
$19.2
Value
$11.37
PnL
+$6.19
Record
63%
4195-2511 (6706)
Invested
$10.3
Value
$16
PnL
+$5.7
Record
47%
2283-2545 (4828)
ohioism<$100Invested
$17.47
Value
$34
PnL
+$16.53
Record
47%
2185-2435 (4620)
Invested
$8.62
Value
$13
PnL
+$4.38
Record
48%
2261-2474 (4735)
Invested
$6.38
Value
$11.18
PnL
+$4.8
Record
47%
1551-1772 (3323)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$7.95
Value
$5
PnL
-$2.95
Record
52%
2790-2541 (5331)
Invested
$4.21
Value
$6
PnL
+$1.79
Record
42%
1805-2456 (4261)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$2.85
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.15
Record
44%
2183-2822 (5005)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$13.34
Value
—
PnL
-$13.34
Record
39%
1532-2394 (3926)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$49.65
Value
—
PnL
-$49.65
Record
47%
191-212 (403)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
ARBArbitrage — excluded
uninformedfloww
Up — $754.67
soswald1
CTRDown — $0
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Up — $240.74
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $51.23
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $42.92
asdaefef
Up — $22.35
PBot-5
Up — $43
ply-pm2
Up — $22.21