Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 61% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Up 61%
1 arb excluded
$3.6K
-$100.34
Smart Money Signal
11 of 18 top traders (61%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$2.23 | 61% 512-328 (840) |
SO soswald1 | Upavg 50.3¢ | $757.15 | $760 | +$15.95 | 52% 3555-3314 (6869) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $598.95 | $605 | +$6.05 | 98% 3966-84 (4050) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.6¢ | $503.2 | $500 | -$1.2 | 54% 3731-3151 (6882) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.6¢ | $251.51 | — | -$251.2 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $250 | $500 | +$250 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 70.8¢ | $90.42 | $89.89 | -$0.53 | 51% 3321-3240 (6561) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 68.1¢ | $47.7 | $70 | +$22.3 | 70% 1672-705 (2377) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 49.1¢ | $44.97 | $38 | +$12.83 | 52% 2296-2150 (4446) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 43.3¢ | $24.24 | — | -$24.24 | 51% 1013-972 (1985) |
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100 | Downavg 44¢ | $18.36 | — | -$18.36 | 58% 5063-3721 (8784) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 98.4¢ | $13.77 | $14 | +$0.23 | 67% 3569-1770 (5339) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 69¢ | $13.28 | $15 | +$1.72 | 54% 2440-2083 (4523) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 76¢ | $9.4 | $10.13 | +$1.05 | 63% 4195-2511 (6706) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 67¢ | $6.27 | $6 | -$0.27 | 48% 2261-2474 (4735) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 66¢ | $3.96 | $6 | +$2.04 | 51% 1968-1903 (3871) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $1.8 | — | -$1.8 | 47% 2283-2545 (4828) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $6.03 | — | -$6.03 | 52% 2790-2541 (5331) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 29.8¢ | $108.8 | — | -$108.8 | 49% 2374-2443 (4817) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $1.31 | — | -$1.31 | 39% 1532-2394 (3926) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 34¢ | $3.4 | — | -$3.4 | 44% 2183-2822 (5005) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$2.23
Record
61%
512-328 (840)
Invested
$757.15
Value
$760
PnL
+$15.95
Record
52%
3555-3314 (6869)
Invested
$598.95
Value
$605
PnL
+$6.05
Record
98%
3966-84 (4050)
Invested
$503.2
Value
$500
PnL
-$1.2
Record
54%
3731-3151 (6882)
Both legs:
Invested
$90.42
Value
$89.89
PnL
-$0.53
Record
51%
3321-3240 (6561)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$47.7
Value
$70
PnL
+$22.3
Record
70%
1672-705 (2377)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$44.97
Value
$38
PnL
+$12.83
Record
52%
2296-2150 (4446)
Invested
$24.24
Value
—
PnL
-$24.24
Record
51%
1013-972 (1985)
Invested
$18.36
Value
—
PnL
-$18.36
Record
58%
5063-3721 (8784)
Invested
$13.77
Value
$14
PnL
+$0.23
Record
67%
3569-1770 (5339)
Invested
$13.28
Value
$15
PnL
+$1.72
Record
54%
2440-2083 (4523)
Invested
$9.4
Value
$10.13
PnL
+$1.05
Record
63%
4195-2511 (6706)
Invested
$6.27
Value
$6
PnL
-$0.27
Record
48%
2261-2474 (4735)
Invested
$3.96
Value
$6
PnL
+$2.04
Record
51%
1968-1903 (3871)
Invested
$1.8
Value
—
PnL
-$1.8
Record
47%
2283-2545 (4828)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$6.03
Value
—
PnL
-$6.03
Record
52%
2790-2541 (5331)
Invested
$108.8
Value
—
PnL
-$108.8
Record
49%
2374-2443 (4817)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$1.31
Value
—
PnL
-$1.31
Record
39%
1532-2394 (3926)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$3.4
Value
—
PnL
-$3.4
Record
44%
2183-2822 (5005)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up — $1.5K
soswald1
Up — $760
hoodquant
Up — $605
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $89.89
BoneOhio
Up — $70
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $38
Little-big
CTRDown — $0
Hcrystallash
CTRDown — $0
asdaefef
Up — $14