Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
26
Down 50%
$434.65
$-2.1K
Smart Money Signal
13 of 26 top traders (50%)13 hold an outcome priced under 50%22 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.3K | 61% 512-328 (840) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 49.2¢ | $505.72 | — | -$497.5 | 54% 3731-3151 (6882) |
LI Little-big | Upavg 34.4¢ | $45.51 | $132.16 | +$86.65 | 51% 1013-972 (1985) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 57¢ | $35.36 | $62 | +$26.64 | 70% 1672-705 (2377) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 70.1¢ | $38.76 | $55 | +$16.24 | 44% 2183-2822 (5005) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 75¢ | $55.89 | $45.25 | -$10.64 | 52% 3555-3314 (6869) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 27.3¢ | $65.73 | — | -$24.72 | 52% 2296-2150 (4446) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 46.9¢ | $260.67 | — | -$260.67 | 49% 2374-2443 (4817) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 71.1¢ | $38.3 | $35.33 | -$2.97 | 54% 2440-2083 (4523) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 49.7¢ | $25.99 | $35 | +$9.01 | 47% 2185-2435 (4620) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Downavg 37.8¢ | $39.36 | — | -$34.26 | 47% 1551-1772 (3323) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 63¢ | $22.2 | $20 | -$2.2 | 51% 3321-3240 (6561) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 46¢ | $12.1 | $15.33 | +$3.23 | 48% 2261-2474 (4735) |
FL flippingsharks<$100 | Upavg 45¢ | $5.65 | $12.55 | +$6.9 | 38% 696-1135 (1831) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 79¢ | $9.21 | $6 | -$1.95 | 39% 1532-2394 (3926) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 57.7¢ | $55.99 | — | -$55.99 | 48% 1343-1431 (2774) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 65.2¢ | $27.15 | $5.33 | +$10.22 | 63% 4195-2511 (6706) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $5.94 | $6 | +$0.06 | 98% 3966-84 (4050) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 49.7¢ | $35.81 | — | -$35.81 | 47% 2283-2545 (4828) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 54¢ | $7.56 | $4.7 | +$2.16 | 59% 3865-2632 (6497) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 16.2¢ | $7.45 | — | -$1.87 | 67% 3569-1770 (5339) |
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100 | Downavg 68¢ | $12.24 | — | -$12.24 | 58% 5063-3721 (8784) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 30.9¢ | $8.95 | — | -$6.6 | 50% 2527-2554 (5081) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 14¢ | $1.68 | — | -$1.68 | 42% 1805-2456 (4261) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $0.3 | — | -$0.3 | 52% 2790-2541 (5331) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.3K
Record
61%
512-328 (840)
Invested
$505.72
Value
—
PnL
-$497.5
Record
54%
3731-3151 (6882)
Invested
$45.51
Value
$132.16
PnL
+$86.65
Record
51%
1013-972 (1985)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$35.36
Value
$62
PnL
+$26.64
Record
70%
1672-705 (2377)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$38.76
Value
$55
PnL
+$16.24
Record
44%
2183-2822 (5005)
Invested
$55.89
Value
$45.25
PnL
-$10.64
Record
52%
3555-3314 (6869)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$65.73
Value
—
PnL
-$24.72
Record
52%
2296-2150 (4446)
Invested
$260.67
Value
—
PnL
-$260.67
Record
49%
2374-2443 (4817)
Invested
$38.3
Value
$35.33
PnL
-$2.97
Record
54%
2440-2083 (4523)
ohioism<$100Invested
$25.99
Value
$35
PnL
+$9.01
Record
47%
2185-2435 (4620)
Invested
$39.36
Value
—
PnL
-$34.26
Record
47%
1551-1772 (3323)
Invested
$22.2
Value
$20
PnL
-$2.2
Record
51%
3321-3240 (6561)
Invested
$12.1
Value
$15.33
PnL
+$3.23
Record
48%
2261-2474 (4735)
Invested
$5.65
Value
$12.55
PnL
+$6.9
Record
38%
696-1135 (1831)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$9.21
Value
$6
PnL
-$1.95
Record
39%
1532-2394 (3926)
Invested
$55.99
Value
—
PnL
-$55.99
Record
48%
1343-1431 (2774)
Invested
$27.15
Value
$5.33
PnL
+$10.22
Record
63%
4195-2511 (6706)
Invested
$5.94
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.06
Record
98%
3966-84 (4050)
Invested
$35.81
Value
—
PnL
-$35.81
Record
47%
2283-2545 (4828)
Invested
$7.56
Value
$4.7
PnL
+$2.16
Record
59%
3865-2632 (6497)
Invested
$7.45
Value
—
PnL
-$1.87
Record
67%
3569-1770 (5339)
Invested
$12.24
Value
—
PnL
-$12.24
Record
58%
5063-3721 (8784)
Invested
$8.95
Value
—
PnL
-$6.6
Record
50%
2527-2554 (5081)
Invested
$1.68
Value
—
PnL
-$1.68
Record
42%
1805-2456 (4261)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.3
Value
—
PnL
-$0.3
Record
52%
2790-2541 (5331)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRDown — $0
ByteBadger92
CTRDown — $0
Little-big
Up — $132.16
BoneOhio
Up — $62
G-Penis-Monster
Up — $55
soswald1
Up — $45.25
Polkadot-Frog
CTRDown — $0
uninformedfloww
CTRDown — $0
ply-pm2
Up — $35.33
ohioism
Up — $35