Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
24
Down 50%
$1.6K
$-1.4K
Smart Money Signal
12 of 24 top traders (50%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Upavg 50Β’ | $1.5K | β | $-1.4K | 61% 503-323 (826) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 69.6Β’ | $601.92 | $614.06 | +$95.95 | 49% 2352-2415 (4767) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 51.5Β’ | $526.87 | $506 | +$4.06 | 54% 3695-3113 (6808) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99Β’ | $200.69 | $202.72 | +$2.03 | 98% 3919-84 (4003) |
![]() ohioism | Downavg 66.6Β’ | $101.05 | $102 | +$0.95 | 47% 2170-2411 (4581) |
![]() G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 40.3Β’ | $27.26 | $35 | +$7.74 | 44% 2169-2794 (4963) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 75Β’ | $56.25 | $29 | +$7.05 | 52% 2275-2131 (4406) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Downavg 52.5Β’ | $22.91 | $24 | +$1.09 | 58% 5051-3712 (8763) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 36.9Β’ | $24.52 | β | -$24.52 | 48% 2240-2454 (4694) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 57Β’ | $11.34 | $17.93 | +$6.59 | 54% 2422-2063 (4485) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 81.1Β’ | $29.42 | $14 | +$1.97 | 62% 4151-2496 (6647) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 41.8Β’ | $18.8 | β | -$18.8 | 47% 2261-2522 (4783) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Downavg 38.2Β’ | $7.06 | $11.19 | +$4.13 | 47% 1538-1764 (3302) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 80.7Β’ | $9.91 | $10.35 | +$0.44 | 67% 3532-1757 (5289) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Upavg 23Β’ | $17.23 | β | -$17.23 | 52% 3521-3295 (6816) |
![]() BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Upavg 39Β’ | $9.36 | β | -$9.36 | 70% 1655-694 (2349) |
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100 | Upavg 34Β’ | $4.47 | β | -$4.47 | 38% 686-1129 (1815) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 61Β’ | $11.61 | $4.27 | -$4.62 | 59% 3835-2614 (6449) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 27Β’ | $1.62 | β | -$1.62 | 42% 1769-2426 (4195) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 24Β’ | $0.47 | β | -$0.47 | 52% 2764-2526 (5290) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 41.9Β’ | $9.33 | β | -$9.33 | 39% 1501-2385 (3886) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 2.6Β’ | $0.34 | β | -$0.34 | 51% 3277-3198 (6475) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 20Β’ | $1 | β | -$1 | 50% 2497-2540 (5037) |
![]() wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Upavg 42.6Β’ | $49.61 | β | -$49.61 | 47% 186-210 (396) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
β
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
61%
503-323 (826)
Invested
$601.92
Value
$614.06
PnL
+$95.95
Record
49%
2352-2415 (4767)
Invested
$526.87
Value
$506
PnL
+$4.06
Record
54%
3695-3113 (6808)
Invested
$200.69
Value
$202.72
PnL
+$2.03
Record
98%
3919-84 (4003)
ohioismInvested
$101.05
Value
$102
PnL
+$0.95
Record
47%
2170-2411 (4581)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$27.26
Value
$35
PnL
+$7.74
Record
44%
2169-2794 (4963)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$56.25
Value
$29
PnL
+$7.05
Record
52%
2275-2131 (4406)
Invested
$22.91
Value
$24
PnL
+$1.09
Record
58%
5051-3712 (8763)
Invested
$24.52
Value
β
PnL
-$24.52
Record
48%
2240-2454 (4694)
Invested
$11.34
Value
$17.93
PnL
+$6.59
Record
54%
2422-2063 (4485)
Invested
$29.42
Value
$14
PnL
+$1.97
Record
62%
4151-2496 (6647)
Invested
$18.8
Value
β
PnL
-$18.8
Record
47%
2261-2522 (4783)
Invested
$7.06
Value
$11.19
PnL
+$4.13
Record
47%
1538-1764 (3302)
Invested
$9.91
Value
$10.35
PnL
+$0.44
Record
67%
3532-1757 (5289)
Invested
$17.23
Value
β
PnL
-$17.23
Record
52%
3521-3295 (6816)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$9.36
Value
β
PnL
-$9.36
Record
70%
1655-694 (2349)
Invested
$4.47
Value
β
PnL
-$4.47
Record
38%
686-1129 (1815)
Invested
$11.61
Value
$4.27
PnL
-$4.62
Record
59%
3835-2614 (6449)
Invested
$1.62
Value
β
PnL
-$1.62
Record
42%
1769-2426 (4195)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.47
Value
β
PnL
-$0.47
Record
52%
2764-2526 (5290)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$9.33
Value
β
PnL
-$9.33
Record
39%
1501-2385 (3886)
Invested
$0.34
Value
β
PnL
-$0.34
Record
51%
3277-3198 (6475)
Invested
$1
Value
β
PnL
-$1
Record
50%
2497-2540 (5037)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$49.61
Value
β
PnL
-$49.61
Record
47%
186-210 (396)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRUp β $0
uninformedfloww
Down β $614.06
ByteBadger92
Down β $506
hoodquant
Down β $202.72

ohioism
Down β $102

G-Penis-Monster
Down β $35

Polkadot-Frog
Down β $29
Hcrystallash
Down β $24
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRUp β $0
ply-pm2
Down β $17.93