Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Resolved Down. 52% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
21
Up 52%
$1.2K
$-2.1K
Smart Money Signal
11 of 21 top traders (52%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.5K | 61% 503-323 (826) |
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50¢ | $750 | $750 | +$18.05 | 52% 3521-3295 (6816) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 54% 3695-3113 (6808) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $250.44 | $252.97 | +$2.53 | 98% 3919-84 (4003) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 82.2¢ | $103.58 | $95 | -$8.58 | 52% 2275-2131 (4406) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 95.8¢ | $56.7 | $59.16 | +$2.46 | 39% 1501-2385 (3886) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 77.2¢ | $16.42 | $21.29 | +$4.86 | 59% 3835-2614 (6449) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $11.65 | $17 | +$5.35 | 48% 2240-2454 (4694) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 43¢ | $12.6 | — | -$12.6 | 54% 2422-2063 (4485) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 92.7¢ | $12.05 | $13 | +$0.95 | 67% 3532-1757 (5289) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $12.6 | $10.1 | -$2.75 | 62% 4151-2496 (6647) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 24.6¢ | $12.28 | — | -$12.28 | 47% 2170-2411 (4581) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 32¢ | $5.44 | — | -$5.44 | 47% 2261-2522 (4783) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 64% 2500-1377 (3877) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $0.89 | $1 | +$0.11 | 70% 1655-694 (2349) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Upavg 24¢ | $1.35 | — | -$1.35 | 47% 1538-1764 (3302) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $18.08 | — | -$18.08 | 42% 1769-2426 (4195) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 21¢ | $0.28 | — | -$0.28 | 52% 2764-2526 (5290) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Upavg 23.7¢ | $108.82 | — | -$108.82 | 49% 2352-2415 (4767) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 37% 1396-2392 (3788) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 25.8¢ | $12.9 | — | -$12.9 | 44% 2169-2794 (4963) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.5K
Record
61%
503-323 (826)
Invested
$750
Value
$750
PnL
+$18.05
Record
52%
3521-3295 (6816)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
54%
3695-3113 (6808)
Invested
$250.44
Value
$252.97
PnL
+$2.53
Record
98%
3919-84 (4003)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$103.58
Value
$95
PnL
-$8.58
Record
52%
2275-2131 (4406)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$56.7
Value
$59.16
PnL
+$2.46
Record
39%
1501-2385 (3886)
Invested
$16.42
Value
$21.29
PnL
+$4.86
Record
59%
3835-2614 (6449)
Invested
$11.65
Value
$17
PnL
+$5.35
Record
48%
2240-2454 (4694)
Invested
$12.6
Value
—
PnL
-$12.6
Record
54%
2422-2063 (4485)
Invested
$12.05
Value
$13
PnL
+$0.95
Record
67%
3532-1757 (5289)
Invested
$12.6
Value
$10.1
PnL
-$2.75
Record
62%
4151-2496 (6647)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$12.28
Value
—
PnL
-$12.28
Record
47%
2170-2411 (4581)
Invested
$5.44
Value
—
PnL
-$5.44
Record
47%
2261-2522 (4783)
Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
64%
2500-1377 (3877)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$0.89
Value
$1
PnL
+$0.11
Record
70%
1655-694 (2349)
Invested
$1.35
Value
—
PnL
-$1.35
Record
47%
1538-1764 (3302)
Invested
$18.08
Value
—
PnL
-$18.08
Record
42%
1769-2426 (4195)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.28
Value
—
PnL
-$0.28
Record
52%
2764-2526 (5290)
Invested
$108.82
Value
—
PnL
-$108.82
Record
49%
2352-2415 (4767)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
37%
1396-2392 (3788)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$12.9
Value
—
PnL
-$12.9
Record
44%
2169-2794 (4963)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRUp — $0
soswald1
Down — $750
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
hoodquant
Down — $252.97
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $95
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $59.16
aaa221
Down — $21.29
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $17
ply-pm2
CTRUp — $0
asdaefef
Down — $13