Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Resolved Down. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
24
Down 58%
$3.2K
$-1.3K
Smart Money Signal
14 of 24 top traders (58%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.3K | 61% 490-314 (804) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.5¢ | $1.1K | $1.2K | +$17.97 | 98% 3857-81 (3938) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 82.9¢ | $681.66 | $822.4 | +$140.74 | 49% 2317-2371 (4688) |
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99¢ | $586.63 | $592.56 | +$5.93 | 52% 1415-1309 (2724) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.6¢ | $510.66 | $490 | +$5.24 | 54% 3632-3064 (6696) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $55.97 | $70 | +$14.03 | 59% 3783-2578 (6361) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR | Upavg 42.1¢ | $150.05 | — | -$39.74 | 52% 2247-2098 (4345) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 89.4¢ | $19.16 | $17.79 | -$1.37 | 67% 3477-1728 (5205) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 90.3¢ | $20.21 | $21 | +$0.79 | 52% 2738-2492 (5230) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 54.5¢ | $11 | $11.52 | +$0.52 | 54% 2390-2039 (4429) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $18.5 | $15 | -$3.5 | 51% 3248-3166 (6414) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $14.35 | $15 | +$0.66 | 63% 4099-2458 (6557) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Upavg 24.9¢ | $12.8 | — | -$12.8 | 52% 3474-3256 (6730) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 92¢ | $13.8 | $15 | +$1.2 | 48% 2195-2413 (4608) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 6.1¢ | $4.67 | — | -$4.67 | 33% 1061-2196 (3257) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 91¢ | $4.61 | $5.07 | +$0.46 | 71% 1635-682 (2317) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 91¢ | $4.6 | $5.05 | +$0.45 | 65% 2474-1360 (3834) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 91¢ | $4.55 | $5 | +$0.45 | 50% 2462-2507 (4969) |
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100 | Upavg 25.6¢ | $6.81 | — | -$6.81 | 38% 670-1098 (1768) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR | Upavg 8¢ | $145.33 | — | -$145.33 | 42% 1736-2377 (4113) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 30¢ | $9.12 | — | -$9.1 | 47% 2230-2478 (4708) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 5.6¢ | $11.01 | — | -$11.01 | 38% 1469-2355 (3824) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 25.4¢ | $3.9 | — | -$3.9 | 44% 2131-2751 (4882) |
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100 | Upavg 39¢ | $3.9 | — | -$3.9 | 58% 5031-3699 (8730) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.3K
Record
61%
490-314 (804)
Invested
$1,143.98
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$17.97
Record
98%
3857-81 (3938)
Invested
$681.66
Value
$822.4
PnL
+$140.74
Record
49%
2317-2371 (4688)
Invested
$586.63
Value
$592.56
PnL
+$5.93
Record
52%
1415-1309 (2724)
Invested
$510.66
Value
$490
PnL
+$5.24
Record
54%
3632-3064 (6696)
Invested
$55.97
Value
$70
PnL
+$14.03
Record
59%
3783-2578 (6361)
Polkadot-FrogCTRInvested
$150.05
Value
—
PnL
-$39.74
Record
52%
2247-2098 (4345)
Invested
$19.16
Value
$17.79
PnL
-$1.37
Record
67%
3477-1728 (5205)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$20.21
Value
$21
PnL
+$0.79
Record
52%
2738-2492 (5230)
Invested
$11
Value
$11.52
PnL
+$0.52
Record
54%
2390-2039 (4429)
Invested
$18.5
Value
$15
PnL
-$3.5
Record
51%
3248-3166 (6414)
Invested
$14.35
Value
$15
PnL
+$0.66
Record
63%
4099-2458 (6557)
Invested
$12.8
Value
—
PnL
-$12.8
Record
52%
3474-3256 (6730)
Invested
$13.8
Value
$15
PnL
+$1.2
Record
48%
2195-2413 (4608)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$4.67
Value
—
PnL
-$4.67
Record
33%
1061-2196 (3257)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$4.61
Value
$5.07
PnL
+$0.46
Record
71%
1635-682 (2317)
Invested
$4.6
Value
$5.05
PnL
+$0.45
Record
65%
2474-1360 (3834)
Invested
$4.55
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.45
Record
50%
2462-2507 (4969)
Invested
$6.81
Value
—
PnL
-$6.81
Record
38%
670-1098 (1768)
Invested
$145.33
Value
—
PnL
-$145.33
Record
42%
1736-2377 (4113)
Invested
$9.12
Value
—
PnL
-$9.1
Record
47%
2230-2478 (4708)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$11.01
Value
—
PnL
-$11.01
Record
38%
1469-2355 (3824)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$3.9
Value
—
PnL
-$3.9
Record
44%
2131-2751 (4882)
Invested
$3.9
Value
—
PnL
-$3.9
Record
58%
5031-3699 (8730)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRUp — $0
hoodquant
Down — $1.2K
uninformedfloww
Down — $822.4
0x50f7
Down — $592.56
ByteBadger92
Down — $490
aaa221
Down — $70
Polkadot-Frog
CTRUp — $0
asdaefef
Down — $17.79
MayorMamdani
Down — $21
ply-pm2
Down — $11.52